Stock Analysis

We Think Sinclair Broadcast Group (NASDAQ:SBGI) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NasdaqGS:SBGI
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SBGI) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sinclair Broadcast Group

How Much Debt Does Sinclair Broadcast Group Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinclair Broadcast Group had US$4.23b in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$884.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$3.35b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:SBGI Debt to Equity History May 4th 2023

How Strong Is Sinclair Broadcast Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sinclair Broadcast Group had liabilities of US$608.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.22b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$884.0m and US$617.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$4.33b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$1.11b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Sinclair Broadcast Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Sinclair Broadcast Group's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.3) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.9, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The silver lining is that Sinclair Broadcast Group grew its EBIT by 322% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinclair Broadcast Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sinclair Broadcast Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

While Sinclair Broadcast Group's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Sinclair Broadcast Group's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sinclair Broadcast Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.