Stock Analysis

PubMatic (NASDAQ:PUBM) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

NasdaqGM:PUBM
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at PubMatic (NASDAQ:PUBM), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for PubMatic, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.059 = US$19m ÷ (US$577m - US$248m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, PubMatic has an ROCE of 5.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Media industry average of 9.5%.

See our latest analysis for PubMatic

roce
NasdaqGM:PUBM Return on Capital Employed July 7th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for PubMatic compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering PubMatic here for free.

SWOT Analysis for PubMatic

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Does the ROCE Trend For PubMatic Tell Us?

In terms of PubMatic's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. Over the past four years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 5.9% and the business has deployed 266% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

Another thing to note, PubMatic has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 43%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

The Key Takeaway

In conclusion, PubMatic has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And with the stock having returned a mere 0.4% in the last year to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for PubMatic you'll probably want to know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.