Stock Analysis

9F Inc.'s (NASDAQ:JFU) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

NasdaqGM:JFU
Source: Shutterstock

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x 9F Inc. (NASDAQ:JFU) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Interactive Media and Services companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for 9F

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:JFU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 1st 2024

What Does 9F's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at 9F over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on 9F will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on 9F's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For 9F?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as 9F's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 67% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that 9F is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From 9F's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of 9F revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for 9F (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of 9F's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if 9F might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.