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Fox (FOXA) Valuation in Focus as Shares Climb 21% Over Three Months
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
See our latest analysis for Fox.
Momentum has picked up for Fox, with the share price gaining over 15% in the past month and capping a 35% share price return year-to-date. The stock's 12-month total shareholder return now stands at 49%, which suggests that investors are warming to its potential, even as news headlines have quieted down recently.
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With shares climbing and momentum building, the big question now is whether Fox is undervalued, offering investors a potential entry point, or if the market has already priced in the next phase of its growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 6.4% Undervalued
Fox's most-followed narrative sets a fair value of $70.50 for the stock, roughly $4.50 above the most recent close. This suggests that, in the eyes of key market-watchers, Fox still has room to rally even after its latest gains. Let’s look at one catalyst that could be fueling this view.
Robust secular trends toward live news and sports consumption, evidenced by Fox's record-breaking Super Bowl and continued cable news dominance, indicate ongoing strong demand for Fox's core content. This supports resilient advertising revenue and stable affiliate fees.
Want to know what bold assumptions push Fox’s value above recent highs? The real shocker is how much future growth and profitability this narrative is banking on. Intrigued by the underlying financial bets such as audience power and digital expansion? The full story unpacks the key drivers that could make or break this fair value call.
Result: Fair Value of $70.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, rising content costs and ongoing shifts away from traditional TV could present challenges for Fox's long-term revenue and profit stability.
Find out about the key risks to this Fox narrative.
Another View: Market Multiples Send Mixed Signals
While one method pegs Fox's fair value above today's price, market multiples paint a more complex picture. Fox trades at 14.4x earnings, which is much higher than the peer average of 6.9x, but below the broader US Media industry at 16.6x. The fair ratio suggests the multiple could climb to 18.4x. Is this a sign of hidden value, or a reason for caution as the market re-evaluates the company’s growth story?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Fox Narrative
Not convinced by the consensus or eager to dig deeper into the numbers yourself? You can craft your own view in just a few minutes with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Fox research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:FOXA
Fox
Operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.
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