Direct Digital Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqCM:DRCT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.0m

Direct Digital Holdings Valuation

Is DRCT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DRCT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate DRCT's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate DRCT's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DRCT?

Key metric: As DRCT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DRCT. This is calculated by dividing DRCT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DRCT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.05x
SalesUS$94.22m
Market CapUS$5.02m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DRCT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DRCT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
HAO Haoxi Health Technology
0.2xn/aUS$8.2m
BMTM Bright Mountain Media
0.1xn/aUS$6.0m
VADP Vado
0.4xn/aUS$7.9m
AIAD AiAdvertising
0.8xn/aUS$8.1m
DRCT Direct Digital Holdings
0.05x9.3%US$5.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DRCT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DRCT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

43 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.9x3.6%
DRCT Direct Digital Holdings
0.05x9.3%US$5.02m
PARA Paramount Global
0.3x1.5%US$7.52b
DISH DISH Network
0.2x-1.3%US$3.08b
DRCT 0.0xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies43PS01.63.24.86.48+
43 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.9x13.5%
DRCT Direct Digital Holdings
0.05xn/aUS$5.02m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DRCT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the US Media industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DRCT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DRCT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.05x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DRCT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DRCT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.19
US$5.25
+341.2%
52.4%US$8.00US$2.50n/a2
Nov ’25US$2.63
US$15.25
+479.8%
50.8%US$23.00US$7.50n/a2
Oct ’25US$1.99
US$15.25
+666.3%
50.8%US$23.00US$7.50n/a2
Sep ’25US$3.01
US$15.25
+407.5%
50.8%US$23.00US$7.50n/a2
Aug ’25US$3.80
US$15.25
+301.3%
50.8%US$23.00US$7.50n/a2
Jul ’25US$4.68
US$15.25
+225.9%
50.8%US$23.00US$7.50n/a2
Jun ’25US$3.39
US$19.67
+480.1%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
May ’25US$5.28
US$19.67
+272.5%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$14.31
US$19.67
+37.4%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$23.08
US$14.83
-35.7%
12.4%US$17.00US$12.50n/a3
Feb ’25US$10.79
US$14.83
+37.5%
12.4%US$17.00US$12.50n/a3
Jan ’25US$14.88
US$14.83
-0.3%
12.4%US$17.00US$12.50n/a3
Dec ’24US$12.14
US$11.17
-8.0%
34.0%US$15.00US$6.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$2.57
US$7.25
+182.1%
37.2%US$11.00US$4.75US$2.633
Oct ’24US$2.56
US$7.42
+189.7%
34.4%US$11.00US$5.25US$1.993
Sep ’24US$2.44
US$7.42
+204.0%
34.4%US$11.00US$5.25US$3.013
Aug ’24US$2.75
US$7.42
+169.7%
34.4%US$11.00US$5.25US$3.803
Jul ’24US$2.85
US$7.42
+160.2%
34.4%US$11.00US$5.25US$4.683
Jun ’24US$3.22
US$7.56
+134.9%
29.4%US$11.00US$5.25US$3.394
May ’24US$3.36
US$6.94
+106.5%
34.0%US$11.00US$5.25US$5.284
Apr ’24US$3.24
US$6.56
+102.5%
30.3%US$10.00US$5.25US$14.314
Mar ’24US$4.22
US$7.38
+74.8%
21.1%US$10.00US$6.00US$23.084
Feb ’24US$5.24
US$7.50
+43.1%
23.7%US$10.00US$6.00US$10.793
Jan ’24US$2.43
US$7.50
+209.3%
23.7%US$10.00US$6.00US$14.883
Dec ’23US$2.81
US$7.50
+166.9%
23.7%US$10.00US$6.00US$12.143
Nov ’23US$2.82
US$6.75
+139.4%
24.0%US$9.00US$5.25US$2.573

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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