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Here's Why AutoWeb (NASDAQ:AUTO) Can Afford Some Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies AutoWeb, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUTO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for AutoWeb
What Is AutoWeb's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 AutoWeb had debt of US$11.5m, up from US$1.04m in one year. However, it also had US$11.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$278.0k.
How Strong Is AutoWeb's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that AutoWeb had liabilities of US$22.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.98m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$11.3m in cash and US$14.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$577.0k more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that AutoWeb's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$38.8m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, AutoWeb has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AutoWeb's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year AutoWeb had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 28%, to US$86m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While AutoWeb's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$7.9m at the EBIT level. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. Still, we'd be more encouraged to study the business in depth if it already had some free cash flow. This one is a bit too risky for our liking. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that AutoWeb is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqCM:AUTO
AutoWeb
AutoWeb, Inc. operates as a digital marketing company for the automotive industry in the United States.
Fair value with worrying balance sheet.
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