Yara International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Yara International is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.2% and 2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.1% in 3 years.

Key information

14.2%

Earnings growth rate

13.8%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	16.8%
Revenue growth rate	2.0%
Future return on equity	6.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	27 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:YARI.Y - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	14,369	682	545	1,741	14
12/31/2025	14,429	649	554	1,689	17
12/31/2024	13,823	391	659	1,684	17
9/30/2024	13,910	548	167	1,284	N/A
6/30/2024	14,154	263	843	1,988	N/A
3/31/2024	14,590	-38	703	1,843	N/A
12/31/2023	15,431	48	1,149	2,288	N/A
9/30/2023	17,426	573	2,139	3,207	N/A
6/30/2023	19,703	973	1,277	2,295	N/A
3/31/2023	22,133	1,937	1,579	2,579	N/A
12/31/2022	23,902	2,777	1,465	2,391	N/A
9/30/2022	23,551	2,048	335	1,261	N/A
6/30/2022	21,898	1,506	183	1,068	N/A
3/31/2022	19,412	1,380	364	1,163	N/A
12/31/2021	16,616	449	597	1,406	N/A
9/30/2021	14,442	655	1,172	1,983	N/A
6/30/2021	12,932	1,136	1,985	2,733	N/A
3/31/2021	11,890	821	1,669	2,413	N/A
12/31/2020	11,591	691	1,291	2,047	N/A
9/30/2020	11,684	645	1,467	2,275	N/A
6/30/2020	12,176	379	963	1,901	N/A
3/31/2020	12,699	386	797	1,845	N/A
12/31/2019	12,858	599	811	1,907	N/A
9/30/2019	13,254	556	-16	1,129	N/A
6/30/2019	13,281	581	-247	933	N/A
3/31/2019	13,081	139	-503	776	N/A
12/31/2018	12,928	159	-580	756	N/A
9/30/2018	12,439	106	-430	886	N/A
6/30/2018	11,941	98	N/A	1,122	N/A
3/31/2018	11,501	392	N/A	911	N/A
12/31/2017	11,358	477	N/A	791	N/A
9/30/2017	11,230	331	N/A	1,033	N/A
6/30/2017	10,936	341	N/A	926	N/A
3/31/2017	10,892	616	N/A	1,107	N/A
12/31/2016	11,029	736	N/A	1,631	N/A
9/30/2016	12,328	891	N/A	1,617	N/A
6/30/2016	12,162	1,231	N/A	1,839	N/A
3/31/2016	12,736	1,229	N/A	1,789	N/A
12/31/2015	12,203	913	N/A	1,653	N/A
9/30/2015	12,740	1,114	N/A	1,781	N/A
6/30/2015	13,418	916	N/A	1,493	N/A
3/31/2015	12,566	817	N/A	1,443	N/A
12/31/2014	12,744	1,019	N/A	1,150	N/A
9/30/2014	13,950	907	N/A	1,391	N/A
6/30/2014	14,028	928	N/A	1,944	N/A
3/31/2014	14,339	881	N/A	1,782	N/A
12/31/2013	13,960	948	N/A	2,025	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: YARI.Y's forecast earnings growth (14.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: YARI.Y's earnings (14.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: YARI.Y's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: YARI.Y's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: YARI.Y's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: YARI.Y's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 11:33
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Yara International ASA is covered by 62 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
null null	ABG Sundal Collier
Andrew Benson	Ålandsbanken Equities Research Ab
Stephen Wilder	Alliance Global Partners

Yara International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Yara International ASA, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2025

Yara International ASA to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2025

ETC Holdings (Mauritius) Limited acquired Yara Côte d'Ivoire S.A. from Yara International ASA (OB:YAR).

Yara International ASA Approves Dividend, Payable on June 6, 2024

Yara International ASA Proposes Ordinary Dividend for 2023, Payable on 13 June 2024

Yara International ASA Proposes Ordinary Dividend for 2023, Payable on 13 June 2024

Yara International ASA to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 07, 2025

Yara International ASA Announces Long-Term Trial Conducted at Hanninghof Research Center in Dulmen, Germany

Yara International Asa Announces Changes to Group Executive Board

N J S Group Limited agreed to acquire unknown majority stake in YARA Cameroun S.A. from Yara International ASA (OB:YAR).

Yara Announces Lars Røsæg Will Leave as Deputy CEO and EVP Corporate Development to Take Up New Position as Investment Partner in Salvesen & Thams

Yara International ASA Approves Board Members

Yara International ASA Announces Executive Changes

Yara International ASA Proposes Ordinary Dividend for 2022, Payable on 22 June 2023

Yara International ASA Approves Dividend, Payable on 15 December 2022

Yara Reportedly Tipped to Buy Incitec's US Plant

Yara International ASA Announces Håkon Reistad Fure Has Step Down from Board of Directors

Yara International Asa Proposes an Additional Dividend, Payable on December 15, 2022

Yara International ASA to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 09, 2024

Yara International ASA Announces Board Changes

Eurochem completed the acquisition of Phosphate Mining Project in Serra do Salitre from Yara International ASA (OB:YAR).

Yara International ASA (OB:YAR) acquired 14% of Orbia from Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (XTRA:BAYN).

Yara International ASA Proposes Dividend for the Year 2021, Payable on 20 May 2022

Yara International Asa Proposes Additional Dividend

Yara International ASA Approves Annual Dividend for the Financial Year 2020, Payable on May 19, 2021

Aker Horizons AS Partner with Yara and Statkraft to Establish Europe's First Large Scale Green Ammonia Project in Norway

National Oil Corporation entered into an agreement to acquire additional 50% stake in Libyan Norwegian Fertiliser Company BV from Yara International ASA (OB:YAR).

Ørsted and Yara Seek to Develop Green Ammonia Project in the Netherlands

Yara International ASA Announces Management Appointments

Yara International ASA to Report Q3, 2021 Results on Oct 20, 2021