Sovereign Metals Limited

OTCPK:SVML.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$310.0m

Sovereign Metals Valuation

Is SVML.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SVML.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SVML.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SVML.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SVML.F?

Key metric: As SVML.F is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for SVML.F. This is calculated by dividing SVML.F's market cap by their current book value.
What is SVML.F's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio13.9x
BookAU$34.36m
Market CapAU$476.90m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does SVML.F's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for SVML.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group
42.9xn/aUS$362.2m
REEM.F Rare Element Resources
6.7xn/aUS$196.0m
LZM Lifezone Metals
15.8x101.0%US$561.2m
CMP Compass Minerals International
1.8x60.7%US$650.8m
SVML.F Sovereign Metals
13.9x-11.9%US$476.9m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: SVML.F is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does SVML.F's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEVD.Q Nevada Copper
0.1xn/aUS$26.02m
VITF.F Victoria Gold
0.06xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.1xn/aUS$6.03m
LITM Snow Lake Resources
0.2xn/aUS$4.01m
SVML.F 13.9xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies14PB012345+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: SVML.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (13.9x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SVML.F's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SVML.F PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio13.9x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SVML.F's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SVML.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.51
US$0.81
+57.9%
34.5%US$1.07US$0.42n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.50
US$0.81
+63.9%
34.5%US$1.09US$0.43n/a3
Oct ’25US$0.51
US$0.82
+61.5%
34.5%US$1.10US$0.43n/a3
Sep ’25US$0.43
US$0.78
+80.1%
43.5%US$1.12US$0.44n/a2
Jul ’25US$0.36
US$0.80
+122.9%
36.9%US$1.10US$0.51n/a2
May ’25US$0.33
US$0.75
+128.7%
34.2%US$1.01US$0.50n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.30
US$0.75
+151.5%
34.2%US$1.01US$0.50n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.30
US$1.01
+235.4%
1.3%US$1.02US$1.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$0.32
US$1.01
+217.5%
1.3%US$1.02US$1.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$0.32
US$1.01
+215.5%
1.3%US$1.02US$1.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$0.29
US$1.05
+263.6%
1.3%US$1.07US$1.04US$0.502
Oct ’24US$0.27
US$1.05
+290.5%
1.3%US$1.07US$1.04US$0.512
Sep ’24n/a
US$1.05
0%
1.3%US$1.07US$1.04US$0.432
Aug ’24n/a
US$1.05
0%
1.3%US$1.07US$1.04US$0.482
Jul ’24US$0.0046
US$1.10
+23,730.0%
2.2%US$1.12US$1.07US$0.362
Jun ’24n/a
US$1.09
0%
2.2%US$1.11US$1.06US$0.402
May ’24n/a
US$1.09
0%
2.2%US$1.11US$1.06US$0.332
Apr ’24n/a
US$1.08
0%
2.2%US$1.11US$1.06US$0.302
Mar ’24US$0.34
US$1.11
+227.0%
4.8%US$1.16US$1.06US$0.312
Feb ’24US$0.41
US$1.11
+174.5%
4.8%US$1.16US$1.06US$0.302
Jan ’24n/a
US$1.07
0%
3.8%US$1.11US$1.03US$0.322
Dec ’23n/a
US$1.01
0%
3.8%US$1.05US$0.97US$0.322
Nov ’23n/a
US$1.03
0%
3.8%US$1.07US$0.99US$0.292

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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