Rio Tinto Group Valuation

Is RTPP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RTPP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RTPP.F ($71.06) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($62.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RTPP.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RTPP.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RTPP.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.3x
PEG Ratio4.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RTPP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RTPP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.6x
SCCO Southern Copper
38x8.3%US$87.4b
MTRN Materion
26.5x31.3%US$2.3b
FCX Freeport-McMoRan
43.9x19.3%US$70.1b
NUE Nucor
9.9x-10.3%US$40.9b
RTPP.F Rio Tinto Group
11.1x2.4%US$93.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RTPP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (217.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RTPP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RTPP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RTPP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RTPP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RTPP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RTPP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$71.06
US$76.20
+7.2%
11.8%US$95.86US$56.20n/a19
Apr ’25US$63.42
US$77.16
+21.7%
12.0%US$99.73US$56.82n/a19
Mar ’25US$64.24
US$78.57
+22.3%
10.2%US$99.73US$63.27n/a19
Feb ’25US$69.78
US$80.68
+15.6%
10.6%US$101.45US$64.80n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
US$77.68
0%
11.6%US$100.71US$64.77n/a19
Dec ’24US$70.73
US$73.84
+4.4%
13.1%US$100.24US$61.14n/a19
Nov ’24US$63.06
US$71.70
+13.7%
12.9%US$94.17US$54.61n/a19
Oct ’24US$62.74
US$73.42
+17.0%
13.6%US$95.18US$54.61n/a19
Sep ’24US$60.74
US$75.09
+23.6%
13.2%US$95.18US$56.90n/a20
Aug ’24US$65.43
US$75.14
+14.8%
13.0%US$95.18US$57.70n/a20
Jul ’24US$63.40
US$73.81
+16.4%
14.3%US$94.70US$48.80n/a20
Jun ’24US$60.43
US$75.23
+24.5%
14.0%US$93.38US$48.09n/a21
May ’24US$65.62
US$74.11
+12.9%
13.7%US$93.38US$47.90US$69.6622
Apr ’24US$67.51
US$72.51
+7.4%
13.6%US$90.48US$47.40US$63.4222
Mar ’24US$71.89
US$72.52
+0.9%
13.8%US$90.48US$44.96US$64.2423
Feb ’24n/a
US$73.56
0%
14.2%US$92.65US$45.89US$69.7823
Jan ’24US$70.14
US$65.83
-6.2%
14.3%US$82.34US$44.80n/a23
Dec ’23US$64.90
US$64.47
-0.7%
14.8%US$82.34US$45.82US$70.7323
Nov ’23US$54.20
US$62.67
+15.6%
15.4%US$79.01US$44.12US$63.0623
Oct ’23US$52.02
US$63.88
+22.8%
14.8%US$82.00US$44.13US$62.7423
Sep ’23US$55.81
US$65.76
+17.8%
13.9%US$82.00US$49.46US$60.7423
Aug ’23US$59.99
US$67.97
+13.3%
16.2%US$99.31US$49.46US$65.4323
Jul ’23US$58.33
US$76.42
+31.0%
14.8%US$99.31US$49.46US$63.4023
Jun ’23US$72.40
US$78.91
+9.0%
14.4%US$99.31US$57.07US$60.4323
May ’23US$70.10
US$81.53
+16.3%
11.7%US$99.31US$60.60US$65.6223

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.