PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk

OTCPK:PSGT.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.6b

Semen Indonesia (Persero) Valuation

Is PSGT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSGT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSGT.F ($0.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSGT.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSGT.F?

Key metric: As PSGT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PSGT.F. This is calculated by dividing PSGT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PSGT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.1x
EarningsRp1.18t
Market CapRp24.85t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PSGT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PSGT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
LOMA Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima
18x14.2%US$1.3b
MCEM Monarch Cement
10.3xn/aUS$800.2m
USLM United States Lime & Minerals
40.8xn/aUS$4.0b
KNF Knife River
27.8x15.4%US$5.5b
PSGT.F Semen Indonesia (Persero)
21.1x31.4%US$24.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PSGT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSGT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Basic Materials Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSGT.F 21.1xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies51PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PSGT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the Global Basic Materials industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSGT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSGT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PSGT.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSGT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.23
US$0.29
+23.8%
28.3%US$0.54US$0.19n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
US$0.31
0%
23.3%US$0.55US$0.24n/a14
Oct ’25US$0.26
US$0.33
+25.7%
24.6%US$0.56US$0.24n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.32
0%
24.6%US$0.56US$0.24n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.33
0%
24.4%US$0.53US$0.23n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.35
0%
24.6%US$0.52US$0.23n/a16
Jun ’25n/a
US$0.38
0%
24.3%US$0.53US$0.23n/a16
May ’25n/a
US$0.46
0%
12.9%US$0.62US$0.35n/a16
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.47
0%
12.0%US$0.63US$0.40n/a16
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.52
0%
11.8%US$0.64US$0.40n/a15
Feb ’25US$0.39
US$0.51
+31.7%
11.7%US$0.64US$0.40n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.52
0%
11.2%US$0.64US$0.40n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.52
0%
11.2%US$0.64US$0.40n/a16
Nov ’24US$0.39
US$0.52
+32.7%
12.0%US$0.63US$0.40n/a14
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.56
0%
10.8%US$0.65US$0.41US$0.2616
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.57
0%
11.0%US$0.66US$0.41n/a16
Aug ’24US$0.45
US$0.58
+29.6%
11.6%US$0.68US$0.42n/a16
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.58
0%
11.3%US$0.68US$0.42n/a17
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.60
0%
11.9%US$0.71US$0.42n/a18
May ’24n/a
US$0.64
0%
11.6%US$0.87US$0.53n/a19
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.62
0%
11.4%US$0.86US$0.52n/a20
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.64
0%
11.0%US$0.85US$0.51n/a19
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.65
0%
11.4%US$0.86US$0.52US$0.3919
Jan ’24US$0.42
US$0.62
+48.3%
11.3%US$0.83US$0.46n/a21
Dec ’23n/a
US$0.64
0%
11.0%US$0.85US$0.47n/a20
Nov ’23n/a
US$0.64
0%
13.0%US$0.83US$0.46US$0.3919

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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