Orica Valuation

Is OCLD.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCLD.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCLD.Y ($10.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($21.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCLD.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCLD.Y?

Key metric: As OCLD.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OCLD.Y. This is calculated by dividing OCLD.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OCLD.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsAU$524.60m
Market CapAU$8.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OCLD.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OCLD.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average62x
CBT Cabot
15.5xn/aUS$6.0b
OLN Olin
31.6x62.8%US$4.8b
HWKN Hawkins
32.3x6.1%US$2.6b
WLK Westlake
168.4x54.6%US$16.4b
OCLD.Y Orica
17x8.4%US$8.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OCLD.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (62x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OCLD.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.06xn/aUS$10.15m
BON Bon Natural Life
2.2xn/aUS$5.60m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.5xn/aUS$1.64m
OCLD.Y 17.0xIndustry Avg. 23.3xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OCLD.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (23.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCLD.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCLD.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OCLD.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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