Orica Limited

OTCPK:OCLD.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.3b

Orica Valuation

Is OCLD.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCLD.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCLD.F ($9.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCLD.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCLD.F?

Key metric: As OCLD.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OCLD.F. This is calculated by dividing OCLD.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OCLD.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.1x
EarningsAU$524.60m
Market CapAU$8.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OCLD.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OCLD.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.1x
CBT Cabot
13.5xn/aUS$5.2b
HWKN Hawkins
30.6x6.1%US$2.5b
OLN Olin
25.8x46.8%US$4.0b
WLK Westlake
150.3x53.9%US$14.9b
OCLD.F Orica
16.1x8.4%US$8.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OCLD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (55.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OCLD.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$11.63m
BON Bon Natural Life
2.3xn/aUS$6.43m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.7xn/aUS$1.79m
OCLD.F 16.1xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OCLD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCLD.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCLD.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OCLD.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCLD.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.68
US$12.84
+32.7%
7.1%US$14.32US$10.90n/a14
Dec ’25n/a
US$13.41
0%
7.1%US$14.97US$11.39n/a14
Nov ’25n/a
US$13.48
0%
6.2%US$14.70US$11.69n/a14
Oct ’25n/a
US$13.77
0%
6.0%US$15.00US$11.93n/a14
Sep ’25n/a
US$13.18
0%
6.5%US$14.36US$11.09n/a14
Aug ’25n/a
US$13.60
0%
6.4%US$14.85US$11.48n/a14
Jul ’25US$10.93
US$13.33
+21.9%
6.4%US$14.56US$11.25n/a14
Jun ’25n/a
US$13.33
0%
6.4%US$14.56US$11.25n/a14
May ’25n/a
US$11.95
0%
10.4%US$13.01US$8.13n/a13
Apr ’25n/a
US$11.99
0%
6.8%US$13.99US$10.74n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
US$11.97
0%
6.8%US$13.98US$10.73n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
US$12.39
0%
6.4%US$13.65US$11.26n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
US$12.39
0%
6.4%US$13.65US$11.26n/a13
Dec ’24n/a
US$11.64
0%
8.6%US$13.12US$9.09n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
US$11.14
0%
8.3%US$12.56US$8.77n/a14
Oct ’24n/a
US$11.23
0%
8.1%US$12.61US$8.81n/a14
Sep ’24n/a
US$11.49
0%
9.0%US$13.24US$9.04n/a15
Aug ’24n/a
US$11.97
0%
9.4%US$13.85US$9.46n/a14
Jul ’24n/a
US$11.45
0%
9.4%US$13.27US$9.06US$10.9314
Jun ’24n/a
US$11.45
0%
9.4%US$13.27US$9.06n/a14
May ’24n/a
US$11.04
0%
7.4%US$12.47US$9.70n/a13
Apr ’24n/a
US$10.99
0%
7.4%US$12.47US$9.70n/a13
Mar ’24n/a
US$11.19
0%
7.2%US$12.57US$9.89n/a13
Feb ’24n/a
US$11.19
0%
7.2%US$12.57US$9.89n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
US$11.19
0%
7.2%US$12.57US$9.89n/a13
Dec ’23n/a
US$10.94
0%
7.7%US$12.41US$9.76n/a13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 18:30
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/16 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Orica Limited is covered by 31 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dennis HulmeAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Brook Campbell-CrawfordBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited