Holcim AG

OTCPK:HCML.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$48.5b

Holcim Valuation

Is HCML.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HCML.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HCML.F ($86.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($123.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HCML.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HCML.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HCML.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HCML.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HCML.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
CRH CRH
17x8.4%US$56.2b
MLM Martin Marietta Materials
17x-11.1%US$35.8b
VMC Vulcan Materials
37x13.7%US$34.3b
EXP Eagle Materials
17.6x8.7%US$8.8b
HCML.F Holcim
14.5x6.5%US$44.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HCML.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HCML.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HCML.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the Global Basic Materials industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HCML.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HCML.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.5x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HCML.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HCML.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$86.65
US$89.90
+3.7%
12.8%US$107.56US$67.29n/a19
May ’25US$86.92
US$88.60
+1.9%
12.9%US$106.69US$66.75n/a18
Apr ’25US$89.62
US$87.12
-2.8%
12.3%US$105.34US$67.64n/a18
Mar ’25US$81.82
US$83.03
+1.5%
11.7%US$102.46US$65.67n/a19
Feb ’25US$76.86
US$81.17
+5.6%
9.8%US$98.52US$67.62n/a19
Jan ’25US$78.38
US$77.32
-1.3%
10.6%US$92.62US$62.52n/a21
Dec ’24US$72.75
US$71.11
-2.3%
8.7%US$84.82US$59.48n/a20
Nov ’24US$62.70
US$71.11
+13.4%
8.7%US$84.82US$59.48n/a20
Oct ’24US$63.13
US$72.45
+14.8%
10.6%US$84.67US$53.48n/a20
Sep ’24US$65.01
US$73.75
+13.4%
10.8%US$86.68US$54.74n/a21
Aug ’24US$69.00
US$73.72
+6.8%
10.9%US$86.83US$54.84n/a21
Jul ’24n/a
US$71.51
0%
12.6%US$87.58US$54.67n/a20
Jun ’24US$61.07
US$71.49
+17.1%
12.1%US$87.44US$54.93n/a19
May ’24US$66.00
US$71.49
+8.3%
12.1%US$87.44US$54.93US$86.9219
Apr ’24US$63.77
US$65.43
+2.6%
15.7%US$85.27US$42.63US$89.6218
Mar ’24US$62.22
US$59.32
-4.7%
15.5%US$75.86US$41.67US$81.8220
Feb ’24US$60.10
US$58.57
-2.5%
14.8%US$74.03US$42.15US$76.8620
Jan ’24US$52.10
US$54.21
+4.0%
13.9%US$68.06US$40.41US$78.3818
Dec ’23US$51.46
US$54.20
+5.3%
14.2%US$67.40US$40.02US$72.7518
Nov ’23US$44.06
US$51.24
+16.3%
14.1%US$63.99US$38.00US$62.7018
Oct ’23US$42.17
US$53.27
+26.3%
10.7%US$62.20US$46.65US$63.136
Sep ’23US$44.77
US$53.66
+19.8%
11.9%US$67.09US$41.93US$65.0118
Aug ’23US$44.49
US$53.56
+20.4%
12.1%US$67.01US$41.88US$69.0018
Jul ’23US$44.80
US$56.54
+26.2%
12.5%US$67.97US$43.92n/a16
Jun ’23US$48.52
US$55.84
+15.1%
11.3%US$66.67US$44.10US$61.0717
May ’23US$48.87
US$56.09
+14.8%
11.7%US$67.10US$44.39US$66.0019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Simply Wall St™
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd
Level 7, 320 Pitt Street, Sydney
Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play
Popular Markets
USAUUKINCAZA
About UsCareersPlansLogin
Help CenterLatest CoveragePodcastsAffiliate ProgramBusiness & Enterprise
Financial Services GuideTerms and ConditionsPrivacy PolicyLogos provided by Clearbit
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.