Core Lithium Ltd

OTCPK:CXOX.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$132.1m

Core Lithium Valuation

Is CXOX.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CXOX.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CXOX.F ($0.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CXOX.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CXOX.F?

Key metric: As CXOX.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CXOX.F. This is calculated by dividing CXOX.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CXOX.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesAU$189.49m
Market CapAU$203.59m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CXOX.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CXOX.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.1x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources
7.2x17.8%US$161.9m
SGML Sigma Lithium
11.6x58.2%US$1.6b
UAMY United States Antimony
7.7xn/aUS$75.9m
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group
62.1xn/aUS$362.2m
CXOX.F Core Lithium
1.1x-101.0%US$203.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CXOX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CXOX.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.56b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.15b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.80b
CXOX.F 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CXOX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CXOX.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CXOX.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.03x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CXOX.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CXOX.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.076
US$0.062
-19.0%
14.7%US$0.073US$0.044n/a6
Nov ’25US$0.083
US$0.062
-26.1%
14.7%US$0.073US$0.044n/a6
Oct ’25US$0.075
US$0.062
-16.4%
12.1%US$0.075US$0.053n/a6
Sep ’25US$0.056
US$0.065
+16.2%
9.8%US$0.074US$0.054n/a6
Aug ’25US$0.06
US$0.063
+5.0%
9.4%US$0.072US$0.053n/a7
Jul ’25US$0.062
US$0.071
+14.2%
18.2%US$0.10US$0.06n/a8
Jun ’25US$0.085
US$0.075
-12.1%
20.1%US$0.099US$0.059n/a8
May ’25US$0.11
US$0.075
-30.0%
20.1%US$0.099US$0.059n/a8
Apr ’25US$0.096
US$0.077
-19.8%
24.7%US$0.098US$0.039n/a8
Mar ’25US$0.14
US$0.089
-35.7%
31.7%US$0.13US$0.039n/a8
Feb ’25US$0.12
US$0.13
+6.0%
56.2%US$0.30US$0.066n/a9
Jan ’25US$0.15
US$0.20
+31.6%
44.7%US$0.37US$0.068n/a10
Dec ’24US$0.18
US$0.25
+37.2%
29.1%US$0.40US$0.17n/a10
Nov ’24US$0.20
US$0.25
+25.6%
26.7%US$0.38US$0.16US$0.08310
Oct ’24US$0.27
US$0.32
+19.5%
28.1%US$0.51US$0.22US$0.07510
Sep ’24US$0.26
US$0.31
+19.8%
25.8%US$0.49US$0.23US$0.0568
Aug ’24US$0.43
US$0.46
+5.1%
29.0%US$0.63US$0.27US$0.069
Jul ’24US$0.62
US$0.61
-1.5%
28.6%US$0.93US$0.35US$0.0629
Jun ’24US$0.71
US$0.60
-15.4%
30.5%US$0.93US$0.35US$0.0859
May ’24US$0.61
US$0.59
-4.0%
29.0%US$0.89US$0.37US$0.118
Apr ’24US$0.59
US$0.62
+5.3%
27.9%US$0.97US$0.34US$0.0968
Mar ’24US$0.66
US$0.66
+0.2%
27.7%US$0.98US$0.33US$0.148
Feb ’24US$0.84
US$0.70
-16.2%
31.1%US$1.02US$0.35US$0.126
Jan ’24US$0.70
US$0.71
+0.06%
32.8%US$1.02US$0.36US$0.155
Dec ’23US$0.94
US$0.85
-9.7%
42.5%US$1.20US$0.35US$0.183
Nov ’23US$0.91
US$1.02
+12.0%
6.3%US$1.09US$0.96US$0.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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