Almonty Industries Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ALMT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ALMT.F ($0.63) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($3.52)

Is ALMT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALMT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALMT.F ($0.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALMT.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALMT.F?

Key metric: As ALMT.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALMT.F. This is calculated by dividing ALMT.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALMT.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	8.2x
Sales	CA$27.98m
Market Cap	CA$230.16m

ALMT.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	13.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-61.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALMT.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALMT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.6x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources	7.3x	17.8%	US$158.5m
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group	62.1x	n/a	US$362.2m
UAMY United States Antimony	8.4x	n/a	US$84.4m
CMP Compass Minerals International	0.6x	2.3%	US$612.2m
ALMT.F Almonty Industries	8.2x	47.6%	US$230.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALMT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALMT.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

26 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
TX Ternium	0.3x	2.8%	US$6.39b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs	0.3x	4.3%	US$5.95b
ARNC Arconic	0.4x	5.8%	US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium	0.3x	9.3%	US$1.83b

26 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALMT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALMT.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALMT.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	8.2x
Fair PS Ratio	2.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALMT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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