Core Molding Technologies Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CMT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CMT ($15.86) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($100.76)

Is CMT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CMT ($15.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($100.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CMT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMT?

Key metric: As CMT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CMT. This is calculated by dividing CMT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CMT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	8.9x
Earnings	US$15.44m
Market Cap	US$139.27m

CMT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	3.8x
PEG Ratio	5.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CMT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CMT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.9x
SIRE Sisecam Resources	7.6x	n/a	US$511.9m
KOP Koppers Holdings	10.1x	21.0%	US$757.4m
WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners	13x	n/a	US$796.2m
GLGI Greystone Logistics	9.1x	n/a	US$26.9m
CMT Core Molding Technologies	8.9x	1.6%	US$139.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CMT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CMT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)	2.8x	n/a	US$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings	0.06x	n/a	US$9.40m
BON Bon Natural Life	2.4x	n/a	US$5.36m
GSPI Green Star Products	1.7x	n/a	US$1.49m

7 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CMT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (22.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	8.9x
Fair PE Ratio	11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CMT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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