Vale S.A.

NYSE:VALE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$40.4b

Vale Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Vale is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.9% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.7% in 3 years.

Key information

5.9%

Earnings growth rate

11.3%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth12.7%
Revenue growth rate2.2%
Future return on equity19.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Vale Q1 Earnings Preview: A Bumpy Road But Still A Buy At These Valuations

Apr 22

BHP Group Is Better Than Vale If You Really Want Mining Exposure

Mar 20

Vale: Upgrading To Buy On Improving Commodity Prices, Earnings On Deck

Feb 16

Double-Digit Dividend Yield: Why Vale Stands Out

Jan 15

Vale: Preparing For The New Era In The Iron Ore Market

Dec 10

Vale Battles Market Headwinds Despite Growth

Nov 10

Vale Production Report Q3 2024: Good Volumes, Bad Prices

Oct 17

Vale Stock: Think Of Doubling Down On Val(u)e

Oct 02

Vale: A Cautious Hold Amid New CEO And Rising Iron Ore Prices

Aug 28

Vale: High Capital Returns & Discounted Valuation

Jul 27

If The Fed Slashes Rates Too Soon, Vale Could Spike Higher

Jul 19

Why Vale Could Rebound

Jul 01

Vale: China's Construction Collapse Signals Multi-Decade Peak In Iron Ore Demand

Jun 21

Vale Stock: I Sense A Value Trap

May 22

Vale Q1 2024: Decent Results And Surprise With Provisions

Apr 26

Vale's Failures Don't Make It Uninvestable

Apr 15

Vale: Why I'm Buying More Despite The Noise

Mar 14

Vale: Potential Value Trap Reliant On Weakening Chinese Iron Ore Demand

Feb 12

Vale: Bet On Rising Iron Ore Demand While Being Paid To Wait

Jan 11

Vale Could Have A Decent Year, Despite Poor Global Economic Prospects (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 04

Vale: Still More Upside But Be Cautious

Nov 29

Vale Is A Terrific Rotation Play With Significant Long-Term Potential

Nov 13

Vale Q3 Earnings: Buy While It's Cheap

Oct 29

Vale: Buy On Higher For Longer Iron Ore Prices

Oct 13

Vale: Bet On Growing Iron Ore And Base Metals Demand At A Good Discount

Sep 25

Vale: Q2 Earnings, Weathering The Storm

Aug 23

Vale: Navigating Turbulent Commodity Markets

Aug 04

Vale: Brazilian Mining Giant Potentially Undervalued And Offering +8% Dividend Yield

Jul 21

Vale: Moderately Discounted, Compelling Dividends And Buybacks

Jul 10

Vale: A Promising Future Supported By Strong Financials And Strategic Operations

Jul 02

Vale In The Age Of EVs: Separating The Base Metal Business Could Unleash Tremendous Upside

Jun 12

Vale: Separating The Base Metals Business Could Unlock Value

May 30

Vale GAAP EPS of $0.82 beats by $0.19, revenue of $11.94B beats by $560M

Feb 21

Vale Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Feb 15

Vale: Upside Risk From Cosan Take Over Gambit

Jan 31

Vale: Waiting For Clarity On Base Metals Deal

Jan 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:VALE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027227,67942,88530,31558,62616
12/31/2026223,44142,75624,16655,97820
12/31/2025219,70844,36121,97544,57015
3/31/2025211,52531,4656,55142,103N/A
12/31/2024206,00531,59215,10150,199N/A
9/30/2024211,10948,25124,98156,702N/A
6/30/2024210,09348,72930,18061,642N/A
3/31/2024206,11638,71034,27364,753N/A
12/31/2023208,06639,94036,45965,905N/A
9/30/2023206,29647,51723,55452,283N/A
6/30/2023206,41456,93927,33255,025N/A
3/31/2023213,63072,58735,30863,400N/A
12/31/2022226,50886,10630,01758,201N/A
9/30/2022237,09596,96033,23158,698N/A
6/30/2022249,433101,48960,75489,169N/A
3/31/2022281,451124,56984,349112,232N/A
12/31/2021293,524133,712109,465136,766N/A
9/30/2021296,709116,999133,655161,108N/A
6/30/2021290,197104,799116,684139,427N/A
3/31/2021243,63966,78783,680105,783N/A
12/31/2020206,09835,58853,48875,208N/A
9/30/2020170,61015,48030,62651,578N/A
6/30/2020153,3686,40722,41842,221N/A
3/31/2020148,93973429,28746,755N/A
12/31/2019144,6353,95933,46047,282N/A
9/30/2019145,07614,22233,94848,403N/A
6/30/2019142,27413,43333,94347,588N/A
3/31/2019137,50314,16235,77149,090N/A
12/31/2018134,48325,967N/A47,799N/A
9/30/2018126,85515,618N/A47,442N/A
6/30/2018117,59317,354N/A39,562N/A
3/31/2018109,72217,467N/A37,582N/A
12/31/2017108,53220,235N/A39,154N/A
9/30/2017109,35721,669N/A36,743N/A
6/30/2017102,58816,136N/A36,988N/A
3/31/2017100,80119,335N/A33,297N/A
12/31/201694,63317,470N/A21,635N/A
9/30/201679,220-20,596N/A18,235N/A
6/30/201680,739-29,215N/A16,376N/A
3/31/201680,604-27,729N/A11,999N/A
12/31/201578,057-43,553N/A15,719N/A
9/30/201585,970-15,819N/A13,380N/A
6/30/201583,250-12,537N/A14,090N/A
3/31/201583,893-14,493N/A20,284N/A
12/31/201482,6193,139N/A27,792N/A
9/30/201495,087-9,269N/A28,999N/A
6/30/2014102,6482,090N/A32,716N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: VALE's forecast earnings growth (5.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: VALE's earnings (5.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: VALE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: VALE's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: VALE's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: VALE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/27 00:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/25 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vale S.A. is covered by 59 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexander HackingAuerbach Grayson
Rodrigo FerrazBanco Brascan S.A.
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research