Teck Resources Valuation

Is TECK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TECK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TECK ($50.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($54.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TECK is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TECK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TECK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.4x
PEG Ratio29.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TECK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TECK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
MTRN Materion
27.2x31.3%US$2.3b
GSM Ferroglobe
11.6x17.6%US$1.0b
STLD Steel Dynamics
8.7x-14.8%US$21.0b
RS Reliance
13.5x-8.7%US$17.0b
TECK Teck Resources
22.3x0.7%US$35.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TECK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TECK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TECK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TECK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TECK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TECK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TECK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$50.34
US$50.92
+1.2%
16.0%US$63.92US$32.69n/a17
May ’25US$48.41
US$50.92
+5.2%
16.0%US$63.92US$32.69n/a17
Apr ’25US$46.26
US$46.38
+0.3%
14.1%US$57.47US$33.16n/a18
Mar ’25US$39.20
US$45.68
+16.5%
13.1%US$57.53US$33.19n/a18
Feb ’25US$40.37
US$45.88
+13.6%
12.8%US$58.26US$33.61n/a18
Jan ’25US$42.27
US$46.08
+9.0%
11.0%US$51.52US$34.22n/a16
Dec ’24US$38.85
US$46.83
+20.5%
11.0%US$51.59US$34.27n/a17
Nov ’24US$35.46
US$47.75
+34.7%
10.0%US$54.23US$36.15n/a16
Oct ’24US$43.09
US$49.94
+15.9%
12.0%US$59.18US$36.99n/a15
Sep ’24US$42.50
US$49.82
+17.2%
11.0%US$60.20US$37.63n/a16
Aug ’24US$43.37
US$49.82
+14.9%
11.0%US$60.20US$37.63n/a16
Jul ’24US$42.10
US$51.10
+21.4%
11.1%US$60.36US$37.73n/a17
Jun ’24US$40.96
US$50.60
+23.5%
11.4%US$59.06US$36.91n/a18
May ’24US$45.51
US$50.60
+11.2%
11.4%US$59.06US$36.91US$48.4118
Apr ’24US$36.50
US$47.15
+29.2%
13.5%US$55.28US$28.75US$46.2620
Mar ’24US$41.83
US$47.19
+12.8%
13.1%US$55.16US$28.68US$39.2020
Feb ’24US$43.82
US$43.85
+0.07%
13.3%US$52.68US$31.23US$40.3723
Jan ’24US$37.82
US$39.43
+4.3%
14.8%US$49.25US$24.99US$42.2723
Dec ’23US$37.75
US$38.81
+2.8%
13.6%US$47.65US$25.28US$38.8523
Nov ’23US$31.35
US$38.54
+22.9%
13.7%US$47.05US$24.96US$35.4623
Oct ’23US$30.41
US$37.32
+22.7%
17.0%US$49.02US$23.53US$43.0924
Sep ’23US$32.17
US$39.63
+23.2%
15.8%US$49.83US$25.31US$42.5023
Aug ’23US$28.38
US$40.49
+42.7%
15.7%US$49.98US$25.38US$43.3723
Jul ’23US$29.78
US$47.74
+60.3%
12.6%US$59.78US$34.16US$42.1023
Jun ’23US$42.36
US$47.73
+12.7%
12.5%US$60.84US$34.76US$40.9622
May ’23US$39.46
US$46.00
+16.6%
11.3%US$54.49US$34.25US$45.5122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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