SunCoke Energy, Inc.

NYSE:SXC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

SunCoke Energy Valuation

Is SXC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SXC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SXC ($12.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($17.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SXC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SXC?

Key metric: As SXC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SXC. This is calculated by dividing SXC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SXC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsUS$86.00m
Market CapUS$1.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SXC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SXC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
HAYN Haynes International
20.8x24.9%US$774.5m
RYI Ryerson Holding
37.6xn/aUS$789.2m
MTUS Metallus
27.5x52.0%US$639.5m
METC Ramaco Resources
19.2x36.9%US$661.8m
SXC SunCoke Energy
12.4x-16.5%US$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SXC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SXC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.5xn/aUS$5.42m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
SXC 12.4xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SXC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (19.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SXC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SXC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SXC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SXC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.72
US$12.00
-5.7%
8.3%US$13.00US$11.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$9.82
US$12.00
+22.2%
8.3%US$13.00US$11.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$8.69
US$12.00
+38.1%
8.3%US$13.00US$11.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$8.96
US$12.00
+33.9%
8.3%US$13.00US$11.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$10.37
US$12.00
+15.7%
8.3%US$13.00US$11.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$10.04
US$11.50
+14.5%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$10.55
US$11.50
+9.0%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a2
May ’25US$9.85
US$11.50
+16.8%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$11.27
US$11.50
+2.0%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$10.80
US$11.50
+6.5%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a2
Aug ’24US$9.90
US$11.00
+11.1%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$10.372
Jul ’24US$7.87
US$11.00
+39.8%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$10.042
Jun ’24US$6.86
US$11.00
+60.3%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$10.552
May ’24US$7.72
US$11.00
+42.5%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$9.852
Apr ’24US$8.98
US$11.00
+22.5%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$11.272
Mar ’24US$9.93
US$11.00
+10.8%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$10.802
Feb ’24US$9.03
US$10.50
+16.3%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$10.712
Jan ’24US$8.63
US$10.50
+21.7%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$10.742
Dec ’23US$8.52
US$10.50
+23.2%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$9.462
Nov ’23US$7.55
US$10.50
+39.1%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$8.932

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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