Summit Materials, Inc.

NYSE:SUM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.9b

Summit Materials Valuation

Is SUM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUM ($50.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($82.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUM?

Key metric: As SUM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUM. This is calculated by dividing SUM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio60x
EarningsUS$147.37m
Market CapUS$8.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.4x
EXP Eagle Materials
17.8x9.8%US$8.9b
KNF Knife River
28.7x15.6%US$5.9b
USLM United States Lime & Minerals
38.5xn/aUS$4.0b
MLM Martin Marietta Materials
16.5x-13.9%US$33.3b
SUM Summit Materials
60x43.1%US$8.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60x) compared to the peer average (25.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Basic Materials Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SUM 60.0xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies45PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60x) compared to the Global Basic Materials industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio60x
Fair PE Ratio34.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$50.37
US$51.67
+2.6%
6.3%US$56.00US$43.24n/a13
Dec ’25US$50.94
US$52.10
+2.3%
7.0%US$58.00US$43.24n/a13
Nov ’25US$47.83
US$51.08
+6.8%
11.2%US$60.00US$41.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$37.82
US$48.61
+28.5%
8.6%US$58.00US$41.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$40.50
US$48.86
+20.6%
8.8%US$58.00US$41.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$40.46
US$48.48
+19.8%
10.3%US$60.00US$41.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$35.63
US$50.42
+41.5%
8.2%US$60.00US$44.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$38.64
US$50.80
+31.5%
9.0%US$60.00US$44.00n/a16
May ’25US$39.23
US$49.79
+26.9%
10.9%US$60.00US$42.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$43.11
US$47.64
+10.5%
9.2%US$60.00US$42.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$43.20
US$46.21
+7.0%
11.1%US$60.00US$39.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$37.37
US$43.77
+17.1%
7.7%US$50.00US$38.00n/a13
Jan ’25US$38.46
US$42.96
+11.7%
7.5%US$50.00US$39.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$35.55
US$42.75
+20.3%
6.8%US$50.00US$39.00US$50.9414
Nov ’24US$33.92
US$42.62
+25.6%
7.2%US$50.00US$38.00US$47.8313
Oct ’24US$31.14
US$43.23
+38.8%
8.5%US$50.00US$37.00US$37.8213
Sep ’24US$38.37
US$43.67
+13.8%
8.1%US$50.00US$37.00US$40.5015
Aug ’24US$36.61
US$39.87
+8.9%
12.0%US$50.00US$31.00US$40.4615
Jul ’24US$37.85
US$37.83
-0.04%
13.0%US$50.00US$31.00US$35.6315
Jun ’24US$32.21
US$37.50
+16.4%
13.0%US$50.00US$31.00US$38.6416
May ’24US$27.72
US$35.88
+29.4%
16.3%US$50.00US$28.00US$39.2316
Apr ’24US$28.49
US$36.73
+28.9%
15.0%US$50.00US$29.00US$43.1115
Mar ’24US$29.51
US$36.46
+23.6%
15.0%US$50.00US$28.00US$43.2016
Feb ’24US$33.66
US$36.38
+8.1%
16.2%US$49.16US$28.00US$37.3716
Jan ’24US$28.39
US$35.18
+23.9%
19.4%US$49.16US$25.00US$38.4615
Dec ’23US$29.74
US$34.94
+17.5%
19.8%US$49.16US$24.58US$35.5515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 23:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Summit Materials, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adam SeidenBarclays
Adam ThalhimerBB&T Capital Markets
Daniel WangBerenberg