Stock Analysis

Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.66

NYSE:SMG
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The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG) will pay a dividend of $0.66 on the 8th of December. The dividend yield will be 4.9% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Scotts Miracle-Gro

Scotts Miracle-Gro's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Even though Scotts Miracle-Gro isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend extends its recent trend, estimates say the dividend could reach 29%, which we would be comfortable to see continuing.

historic-dividend
NYSE:SMG Historic Dividend November 4th 2023

Scotts Miracle-Gro Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $1.30 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $2.64. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.3% over that duration. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Earnings per share has been sinking by 38% over the last five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

In Summary

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. We don't think Scotts Miracle-Gro is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Scotts Miracle-Gro (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.