Pan American Silver Corp.

NYSE:PAAS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$21.3b

Pan American Silver Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Pan American Silver is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.3% and 8.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.9% in 3 years.

Key information

12.3%

Earnings growth rate

10.63%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth14.2%
Revenue growth rate8.8%
Future return on equity22.91%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 07

Pan American Silver: What To Expect In Extreme Market Volatility

Summary Despite the wicked sell-off in silver and gold this year, Pan American Silver continued to benefit from significantly higher prices in Q1 versus Q4 FY25. Today I'll take a fresh look at the company, including excellent exploration results at the world-class 100% owned La Colorada mine in Mexico. I'll also present commentary on the company's 2026 guidance and review Q1 earnings estimates (the Q1 report is due out May 5th, after the market closes). I maintain my STRONG BUY rating on PAAS, but I caution investors to take advantage of extreme market volatility and to only add to positions on significant sell-offs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

Pan American Silver: Flying High, But Stuck In A Holding Pattern - With Escobal In View

Summary Pan American Silver (PAAS) is rated "Hold" due to expected declines in both silver and gold production in 2025, despite recent price surges. PAAS's gold production has increased since acquiring Yamana Gold's assets, but 2025 production is projected to be 10% - 17% lower than last year. Silver production is also expected to decline, with La Colorada and Huaron being the only operations with a positive outlook for 2025. PAAS's current valuation is higher than its peers, making it less attractive for long-term investment, but it offers short-term trading opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 07

Pan American Silver: Another Record Year On Deck

Summary Pan American had a decent 2024, reporting significant growth in free cash flow and a return to a net cash position, offset by a slight miss on its guidance midpoint. While the company had a solid 2024, it faces a production cliff in 2028 if it can't extend mine lives at a few of its assets and/or bring Escobal online. On a positive note, Pan American stands out as a company focused on per-share growth, unlike most of its silver peers & trades at a reasonable valuation. In this update, we'll dig into the Q4 and FY2024 results, recent developments, and whether the stock is offering an adequate margin of safety at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 22

Secular Silver Shortfall Could Keep Prices Higher For Longer For Pan American Silver

Summary Pan American Silver is a top silver producer, benefiting from the Yamana acquisition, asset divestitures, and strong metal markets, making it a solid buy. Management focuses on aggressive deleveraging, maintaining a $0.40 annual dividend, and authorized share repurchases, appealing to income investors seeking silver exposure with gold stability. La Colorada mine improvements and La Colorada Skarn project potential significantly boost silver production, while Jacobina mine enhances gold output, supporting long-term growth. Strong financials with record cash position, zero net debt, and potential variable dividend in 2025, driven by high silver and gold prices and industrial demand. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 16

Pan American Silver: One Of The Better Options For Silver Exposure

Summary Pan American Q3-24 production was below expectations, impacted by lower grades at Cerro Moro. Fortunately, higher metal prices boosted financial results, achieving record revenue of $716.1 million and significant cash flow generation. Unfortunately, while 2024 has been strong financially, the company has tough comps on deck in 2025 with significantly lower gold production in 2025. In this update we'll dig into the Q3-24 results, recent developments, and whether the stock is offering enough margin of safety for new investment at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

Pan American Silver: Production Growth Visibility Amid Upside In Precious Metals

Summary Initiating coverage on Pan American Silver with a "Buy" rating and a 24-month investment horizon due to attractive valuation and potential growth from higher precious metal prices. Strong fundamentals with a $1.22 billion liquidity buffer, healthy free cash flow, and significant production growth catalysts like Escobal and La Colorada Skarn support the bullish outlook. Risks include potential delays in Escobal mining resumption, but overall financial health and favorable precious metal price trends mitigate concerns, supporting a positive investment thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 30

Pan American Silver: Positioned For Growth Amid Higher Gold, Silver Prices

Summary Pan American Silver is one of the largest silver miners in the world and its shares have appreciated over 30% YTD. Despite Q2 production challenges, revenue increased by 7.3% due to higher metal prices, setting up a strong second half of 2024. The company's diversified portfolio and solid balance sheet, combined with potential catalysts like the Escobal mine reopening, support a positive outlook. Trading below its net asset value and only slightly above peers' EV/EBITDA multiple, Pan American Silver shares have significant upside potential, earning a buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 20

Pan American Silver: Better Outlook For H2, But Almost Everything Is Already Priced In

Summary Pan American Silver is rated as a hold due to limited further price increases in silver and rising all-in sustaining costs. PAAS's AISC increased by nearly 20% in Q2. Silver production fell by 8.82% in Q2, but management's 2024 production targets are still achievable, potentially improving AISC and profit margins. Expected Q3 revenue is $774.64 million, translating to $0.32 per share; current valuation implies a P/E of almost 16, making it fairly priced. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 14

Pan American Silver: A Stronger H2 On Deck

Summary Pan American Silver Corp. had a mediocre quarter in Q2 with solid performances from Huaron, San Vicente, El Penon and Jacobina overshadowed by softness at La Colorada/Cerro Moro. The result was a significant spike in AISC in Q2 2024 to ~$19/oz, but record gold prices still allowed for significant free cash flow generation in Q2. Meanwhile, although Q2 2024 certainly had its challenges, H2 2024 is shaping up to be much stronger with a weaker MXN/USD, higher gold/silver prices and higher production. In this update, we'll dig into the Q3 2024 results, recent developments, and where the stock's updated low-risk buy zone lies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07

Pan American Silver: Solid Production Trends, But Shares Near Fair Value

Summary Silver and gold had strong starts to 2024, but price action has turned mixed as global volatility ticks up across financial markets. Pan American Silver reported solid Q1 results in May, and all eyes are now on the Q2 report after a healthy mid-year update in June. I see the stock as near its intrinsic value while PAAS' technical chart sends mixed signals. The options market prices in a 5% earnings related move heading into the Wednesday night Q2 report. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 28

Pan American Silver: Significant Margin Expansion On Deck In Q2

Summary Pan American Silver had a decent Q1 despite it being the weakest quarter of the year, with silver production set to progressively improve throughout the year. Meanwhile, although silver segment margins dipped year-over-year, this did not factor in the recent silver price rise, with AISC margins set to soar in Q2 & improve further in Q3/Q4. In this update, we'll dig into the Q1 results, recent developments, and what makes Pan American one of the more attractive ways to get silver exposure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Pan American Silver: Has The Potential To Improve Performance Significantly

Summary Demand for silver has outpaced supply in recent years, driving up the price per ounce. Pan American Silver, one of the world's biggest silver producers, has seen its stock value increase by 36.31% in one month. The upcoming Q1 results may provide insight into PAAS's future performance, but the overall outlook for silver remains positive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 13

Pan American Silver: An Improved 2024 Margin Outlook

Summary Pan American Silver saw a significant increase in gold production year-over-year following its Yamana acquisition, but margins disappointed in what was a tough year. Fortunately, 2024 will be a better year for the company with lower care and maintenance costs, a better H2 out of La Colorada, and lower capital expenditures. In this update, we'll dig into Pan American's Q4/FY2023 results, recent developments, and why the stock continues to be one of the lower risk ways to get silver exposure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PAAS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20284,8931,8161,6872,3733
12/31/20275,7762,0332,4173,0366
12/31/20265,4992,0031,8922,6165
3/31/20264,0001,2661,3101,661N/A
12/31/20253,6199781,0191,333N/A
9/30/20253,2556357491,053N/A
6/30/20253,116523682971N/A
3/31/20252,991312536840N/A
12/31/20242,819112401724N/A
9/30/20242,673-64261617N/A
6/30/20242,574-140115506N/A
3/31/20242,527-15133460N/A
12/31/20232,316-10471450N/A
9/30/20232,022-208-162171N/A
6/30/20231,745-260-182111N/A
3/31/20231,445-402-23714N/A
12/31/20221,495-342-24332N/A
9/30/20221,541-155-10262N/A
6/30/20221,663-6399365N/A
3/31/20221,705182174431N/A
12/31/20211,63397149392N/A
9/30/20211,641252218445N/A
6/30/20211,481298199403N/A
3/31/20211,348247207378N/A
12/31/20201,339178284462N/A
9/30/20201,31361246421N/A
6/30/20201,36533202388N/A
3/31/20201,45531187409N/A
12/31/20191,351111N/A282N/A
9/30/20191,120-5N/A164N/A
6/30/2019955-52N/A124N/A
3/31/2019831-34N/A108N/A
12/31/201878410N/A155N/A
9/30/2018837123N/A222N/A
6/30/2018840150N/A244N/A
3/31/2018825149N/A220N/A
12/31/2017817121N/A225N/A
9/30/201778194N/A191N/A
6/30/2017824119N/A229N/A
3/31/2017815118N/A253N/A
12/31/2016775100N/A215N/A
9/30/2016747-55N/A193N/A
6/30/2016673-164N/A123N/A
3/31/2016655-206N/A78N/A
12/31/2015675-227N/A89N/A
9/30/2015675-620N/A66N/A
6/30/2015694-574N/A72N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PAAS's forecast earnings growth (12.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: PAAS's earnings (12.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PAAS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PAAS's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PAAS's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PAAS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.9%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 11:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Pan American Silver Corp. is covered by 23 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew MurphyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Kevin O'HalloranBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Lawson WinderBofA Global Research