LSB Industries, Inc.

NYSE:LXU Stock Report

Market Cap: US$542.9m

LSB Industries Valuation

Is LXU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LXU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LXU ($7.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($14.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LXU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LXU?

Key metric: As LXU is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LXU. This is calculated by dividing LXU's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LXU's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$520.11m
Market CapUS$542.89m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LXU's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LXU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
CC Chemours
0.4x4.5%US$2.5b
HUN Huntsman
0.5x5.3%US$3.1b
VHI Valhi
0.3xn/aUS$630.1m
RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials
0.3x3.3%US$499.0m
LXU LSB Industries
1x5.7%US$542.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LXU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LXU's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSE Trinseo
0.05x4.1%US$183.03m
AVD American Vanguard
0.2x4.8%US$131.27m
ALTO Alto Ingredients
0.1x3.1%US$128.77m
ENFY Enlightify
0.2xn/aUS$15.09m
LXU 1.0xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies17PS01.22.43.64.86+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LXU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LXU's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LXU PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LXU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LXU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.58
US$10.67
+40.7%
19.3%US$15.00US$9.00n/a6
Dec ’25US$8.83
US$10.50
+18.9%
21.1%US$15.00US$8.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$8.31
US$10.50
+26.4%
21.1%US$15.00US$8.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$8.12
US$9.79
+20.5%
22.8%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$7.93
US$10.07
+27.0%
22.3%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$9.36
US$10.11
+8.1%
21.7%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$7.95
US$10.08
+26.8%
21.9%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$9.81
US$10.09
+2.9%
20.3%US$15.00US$8.00n/a8
May ’25US$8.47
US$9.66
+14.0%
22.5%US$15.00US$8.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$8.74
US$9.53
+9.1%
23.3%US$15.00US$7.75n/a8
Mar ’25US$7.29
US$11.56
+58.6%
38.6%US$23.00US$8.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$7.76
US$12.00
+54.6%
35.5%US$23.00US$9.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$9.31
US$12.63
+35.6%
31.5%US$23.00US$10.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$9.05
US$12.63
+39.5%
31.5%US$23.00US$10.00US$8.838
Nov ’24US$9.18
US$14.19
+54.5%
27.0%US$24.00US$11.00US$8.318
Oct ’24US$10.23
US$14.19
+38.7%
27.0%US$24.00US$11.00US$8.128
Sep ’24US$10.56
US$14.19
+34.4%
27.0%US$24.00US$11.00US$7.938
Aug ’24US$11.04
US$14.31
+29.6%
26.8%US$24.00US$11.00US$9.368
Jul ’24US$9.85
US$14.38
+45.9%
27.6%US$24.00US$10.00US$7.958
Jun ’24US$9.55
US$14.50
+51.8%
27.6%US$24.00US$10.00US$9.818
May ’24US$8.94
US$16.75
+87.4%
24.8%US$24.00US$10.00US$8.478
Apr ’24US$10.33
US$19.25
+86.4%
14.4%US$24.00US$16.00US$8.748
Mar ’24US$13.81
US$19.71
+42.8%
13.5%US$24.00US$16.00US$7.297
Feb ’24US$12.51
US$21.00
+67.9%
14.6%US$26.00US$18.00US$7.767
Jan ’24US$13.30
US$21.67
+62.9%
10.2%US$26.00US$20.00US$9.316
Dec ’23US$14.77
US$22.00
+49.0%
10.0%US$26.00US$20.00US$9.057

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 07:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

LSB Industries, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Eric ProutyCanaccord Genuity
David BegleiterDeutsche Bank