Stock Analysis

Louisiana-Pacific (NYSE:LPX) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

NYSE:LPX
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (NYSE:LPX) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Louisiana-Pacific

What Is Louisiana-Pacific's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Louisiana-Pacific had US$346.0m of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$607.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$261.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:LPX Debt to Equity History November 22nd 2021

A Look At Louisiana-Pacific's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Louisiana-Pacific had liabilities of US$427.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$596.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$607.0m in cash and US$248.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$168.0m.

Of course, Louisiana-Pacific has a market capitalization of US$6.16b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Louisiana-Pacific also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Even more impressive was the fact that Louisiana-Pacific grew its EBIT by 398% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Louisiana-Pacific's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Louisiana-Pacific has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Louisiana-Pacific recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Louisiana-Pacific's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$261.0m. And we liked the look of last year's 398% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Louisiana-Pacific's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Louisiana-Pacific is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Louisiana-Pacific is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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