Knife River Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Knife River has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 6%, while the Basic Materials industry saw earnings growing at 13.8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.1% per year. Knife River's return on equity is 9.6%, and it has net margins of 5%.
Key information
6.01%
Earnings growth rate
6.48%
EPS growth rate
| Basic Materials Industry Growth | 19.98% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.14% |
| Return on equity | 9.57% |
| Net Margin | 4.99% |
| Next Earnings Update | 05 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
KNF: EDGE Margin Progress And Integration Will Support 2026 Execution Potential
Analysts have trimmed the Knife River fair value estimate by about $0.10 to $102.50, as they balance recent target hikes linked to Q4 margin progress with fresh concerns around valuation, lower margin backlog, and regulatory and policy risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Knife River reflects a split view, with some focusing on execution and margin progress and others calling out valuation and policy risk.Knife River Remains Compelling As Focus On Growth Achieves Solid Growth
Apr 13KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Will Support 2026 Execution Upside
Analyst fair value for Knife River is now set at $102.60, a slight adjustment from $102.82 as analysts weigh recent Q4-driven price target hikes against updated views on discount rates, margin improvement and valuation risk. Analyst Commentary Street research around Knife River is split, with a cluster of price target increases after the Q4 report balanced by a valuation driven downgrade and caution on execution risks into 2026.KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Are Expected To Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Knife River has moved higher to a range of $81 to $109, as analysts highlight Q4 margin improvement, the benefits of the vertically integrated model and the EDGE strategy, while also flagging valuation, lower margin backlog and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Knife River highlights a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh questions on valuation and risk.KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Benefits Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Knife River higher to about $102.82 per share from roughly $102.18, reflecting recent price target increases clustered around post Q4 margin improvement themes and efficiency benefits cited in new research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Knife River has focused on how Q4 results, margin trends, and updated guidance line up with the current share price.KNF: EDGE Execution And Big 6 Project Will Support Future Upside
Knife River's fair value estimate has moved from $96 to about $102, as analysts factor in higher Q4 price targets, stronger expectations around the EDGE and vertically integrated model, and differing views on how current valuation lines up with 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Knife River reflects a wide range of views on how current pricing stacks up against the company’s Q4 performance, EDGE initiatives, and 2026 guidance.KNF: Big 6 Contract And Future Earnings Framework Will Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Knife River by about $1 to roughly $96, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E, even as new coverage maintains a generally supportive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Knife River's positioning in its core markets as a key support for the current valuation, arguing that the revised target still reflects confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its existing project pipeline.KNF: Big 6 Contract And Execution Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have slightly lifted their fair value estimate for Knife River to roughly $96.91 per share, supported by fresh coverage that highlights a constructive long term outlook and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the refreshed fair value estimate of about $96.91 per share as supported by updated assumptions around revenue trends and profit margins, which they view as better aligned with the company’s recent execution.KNF: Major Texas Project And Backlog Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Knife River to $96.80, a modest adjustment that reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while keeping their fair value view essentially unchanged. What's in the News Knife River was awarded a $112 million materials and paving project in Texas, known locally as "Big 6," involving reconstruction and expansion of a 12 mile stretch of State Highway 6 in the Bryan/College Station area, with work expected to run through 2030.KNF: Construction Recovery And Backlog Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Knife River to $96.80 from about $98.22, reflecting a slightly lower fair value and profit margin outlook, even as they acknowledge resilient demand, a solid $1.3B backlog and sector wide expectations for a multi year construction recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed but constructive view on Knife River, with analysts balancing near term execution risks against a solid backlog and longer term recovery potential in U.S. construction and infrastructure spending.There's Reason For Concern Over Knife River Corporation's (NYSE:KNF) Massive 25% Price Jump
Dec 04
KNF: Recovery in Home Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered Knife River’s price target by $20 to $100, citing near-term headwinds from funding issues and weather conditions. Despite these challenges, a solid project backlog supports the long-term outlook.KNF: Early-Cycle Recovery Will Drive Renewed Momentum Amid Sector Headwinds
Analysts have lowered Knife River's fair value estimate from approximately $102 to $98 per share, citing forecasted revenue growth headwinds and sector-specific challenges as highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent street research offers a mix of optimism and caution regarding Knife River's outlook, with analysts weighing sector headwinds against potential catalysts for recovery and growth.KNF: Regional Infrastructure Recovery And Backlog Will Drive Upside Into 2025
Analysts have revised Knife River's price target downward to $100 from $120, citing concerns over regional funding challenges and weather disruptions. However, they note continuing strong demand elsewhere.Multiyear Department Of Transportation Funding Will Enable Expansion
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Knife River from $106.78 to $102.11. This adjustment reflects a modest decrease in expected growth and profit margins, amid sector-wide caution and regional funding challenges.Multiyear Department Of Transportation Funding Will Enable Expansion
Analysts have lowered their price target for Knife River from $120 to $100. They cite ongoing funding challenges in Oregon and adverse weather conditions in key regions as the primary reasons for the revised outlook.The Returns At Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Aren't Growing
Jul 26Knife River: It's Not Time To Turn Bearish Just Yet
Mar 22Knife River: Aggregating Of Aggregates
Dec 22
Decisive Acquisitions And EDGE Strategy Propel Positive Revenue And Net Margin Growth
Strategic improvements and expansion efforts, including dynamic pricing and acquisitions, are set to enhance profitability and broaden market presence.Watch For Flying Knives: Knife River Looks Quite Good, But Valuation Isn't Low
Apr 15Knife River Corporation: A Pure-Play For The Infrastructure Boom
Dec 29Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Knife River makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 3,146 | 157 | 282 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 3,048 | 148 | 265 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,950 | 153 | 258 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,923 | 181 | 249 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,899 | 202 | 241 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,889 | 199 | 243 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,874 | 198 | 239 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 2,852 | 177 | 239 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 2,830 | 183 | 244 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,721 | 180 | 203 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,606 | 133 | 187 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 2,533 | 115 | 171 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 2,535 | 116 | 168 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 2,229 | 130 | 157 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 2,178 | 147 | 158 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: KNF has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: KNF's current net profit margins (5%) are lower than last year (7%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: KNF's earnings have grown by 6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: KNF's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: KNF had negative earnings growth (-22.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Basic Materials industry average (3.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: KNF's Return on Equity (9.6%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/04 16:41 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Knife River Corporation is covered by 12 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Sherif El-Sabbahy | BofA Global Research |
| Rohit Seth | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Adrian Huerta | J.P. Morgan |