Kinross Gold Corporation

NYSE:KGC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$36.7b

Kinross Gold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Kinross Gold is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.3% and 1.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.4% in 3 years.

Key information

0.3%

Earnings growth rate

4.04%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth13.4%
Revenue growth rate1.5%
Future return on equity23.38%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated05 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 06

Kinross: Printing Cash Today As Its Apex Asset Advances

Summary Kinross Gold delivered solid Q1 2026 results, generating ~$838 million in free cash flow and strengthening its net cash position to ~$1.4 billion. Recent project approvals and higher gold prices have improved the miner's long-term production outlook, while the medium-term profile is smoothed ahead of the transition to Great Bear’s ramp-up in 2030. Despite rising costs in Q1 2026, Kinross reported record $3,000/oz+ AISC margins, reiterated full-year guidance, and is relatively insulated from rising fuel prices. In this update we'll dig into the Q1 results, recent developments, and how the stock's valuation stacks up vs. peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 17

Kinross Gold: Production Growth Concerns Likely To Dictate Stock Trend Through 2025

Summary I am downgrading Kinross Gold from "Hold" to "Sell" due to a lack of production growth catalysts and limited upside in gold prices. Despite a 24% stock increase since August 2024, Kinross lacks growth drivers, with production guidance flat at 2 million ounces annually through 2027. Gold's upside appears capped at $3,100 an ounce, with easing inflation and geopolitical tensions reducing demand, limiting Kinross's potential for meaningful stock gains. While Kinross has strong fundamentals and liquidity, the absence of growth catalysts and potential reserves depletion justify a bearish outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

Kinross: A Strong Year, But A Softer 2025 Outlook

Summary Kinross Gold reported solid Q4 & FY2024 results with record free cash flow of ~$1.42 billion. Unfortunately, Tasiast's best years are behind it, contributing to lower 2025 production at higher costs and a dip in annual free cash flow. And while KGC has made progress smoothing its '25-'27 production outlook, it has its work cut out for it to return to 2.3MM GEOs to reverse per share production declines. In this update, we'll dig into the Q4 & FY2024 results, recent developments, and whether the stock is offering an adequate margin of safety at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 14

Kinross Gold: Positioned To Shine Amid A Bullish Gold Market

Summary Kinross Gold has gained 61% in 2024, supported by record free cash flow, debt reduction, and stable production, positioning it for a strong 2025. Its latest results showed a slight drop in production, but benefiting from higher gold prices, reporting a 30% revenue increase and modest AISC rise, outperforming competitors. Trading at a 30% discount to its net asset value and below peers’ EV/EBITDA multiple, Kinross offers upside potential, with solid development projects and a stable production outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

Kinross Gold: Limited Margin Of Safety At Current Levels

Summary Kinross Gold Corporation had another solid quarter in Q2 24 and is tracking well against annual guidance in what's been another impressive year for its Tasiast Mine post-24K expansion. Notably, Kinross' margins surged 40% year-over-year to $955/oz despite fewer ounces sold, benefiting from a record average realized gold price. Meanwhile, the company unveiled an impressive PEA at Great Bear with a $2.0+ billion NPV (5%) even using conservative cost/capex and gold price assumptions. In this update, we'll dig into the Q2 24 results, recent developments, and how its valuation stacks up vs. other million-ounce producer peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 30

Kinross Gold: Stock Re-Rating Depends On Inorganic Growth Strategy

Summary Initiate coverage on Kinross Gold with a “Hold” rating; stock surged 76% in 12 months due to strong fundamentals and operational performance. Kinross stock remains attractively valued with potential for 30%-40% upside, but concerns about production growth in the next 24–36 months. Strong financials: $480M cash, $2.1B liquidity, low leverage, and robust free cash flow visibility with potential for dividend growth. Kinross needs to boost production; potential paths include asset acquisition or being acquired, but valuation challenges exist. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 08

Kinross Gold: A Strong Q1, But No Longer Cheap

Summary Kinross Gold Corporation reports solid Q1 results with increased production and sales, driven by strong performance at its Tasiast and La Coipa mines. The company's AISC margins soared year-over-year even with a $2,070/oz gold price, suggesting further margin expansion on deck in Q2 with a ~$2,250/oz+ gold price. In this update, we'll dig into the Q1 results and Kinross' updated valuation to see where its updated fair value lies when factoring in the more robust gold price environment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 21

Kinross Gold: Best Leverage To Gold Among Seniors

Summary Kinross trades at half the valuation per gold ounce produced compared to peers. A stretched balance sheet and long in the tooth mines are concerns. Great Bear exploration success continues, providing an exciting pipeline project that could potentially produce 500koz/y by 2029. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:KGC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20289,7183,7053,3864,9759
12/31/20279,9673,8954,2565,29612
12/31/20269,9893,7563,5695,08712
3/31/20267,9612,8653,0104,293N/A
12/31/20257,0512,3902,5473,761N/A
9/30/20256,4441,7592,2263,358N/A
6/30/20256,0741,5301,9403,068N/A
3/31/20255,5651,2101,5672,679N/A
12/31/20245,1499491,2782,446N/A
9/30/20244,8497399082,123N/A
6/30/20244,5194935661,796N/A
3/31/20244,3924334911,721N/A
12/31/20234,2404163931,605N/A
9/30/20234,2002454681,669N/A
6/30/20233,9542013421,434N/A
3/31/20233,684401571,113N/A
12/31/20223,455312421,050N/A
9/30/20222,9947129773N/A
6/30/20222,720-67128871N/A
3/31/20222,606-262751,052N/A
12/31/20212,600-282661,135N/A
9/30/20213,1808217071,619N/A
6/30/20213,7291,1341,0971,893N/A
3/31/20214,0281,2999831,938N/A
12/31/20204,2131,3429941,958N/A
9/30/20204,0151,0817261,685N/A
6/30/20203,7609012791,373N/A
3/31/20203,5917772191,273N/A
12/31/20193,497719N/A1,225N/A
9/30/20193,288169N/A1,000N/A
6/30/20193,1644N/A895N/A
3/31/20193,102-65N/A747N/A
12/31/20183,213-24N/A789N/A
9/30/20183,236222N/A972N/A
6/30/20183,311386N/A1,042N/A
3/31/20183,404417N/A1,037N/A
12/31/20173,303445N/A952N/A
9/30/20173,396111N/A888N/A
6/30/20173,47854N/A956N/A
3/31/20173,486-4N/A1,093N/A
12/31/20163,472-104N/A1,099N/A
9/30/20163,275-829N/A979N/A
6/30/20163,175-885N/A945N/A
3/31/20163,053-943N/A796N/A
12/31/20153,052-984N/A832N/A
9/30/20153,137-1,616N/A826N/A
6/30/20153,274-1,568N/A897N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: KGC's forecast earnings growth (0.3% per year) is below the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: KGC's earnings (0.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: KGC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: KGC's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KGC's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KGC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.4%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 04:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Kinross Gold Corporation is covered by 37 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
Richard GrayATB Cormark
Richard GrayATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)