Gerdau Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Gerdau is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.1% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.6% in 3 years.

Key information

13.1%

Earnings growth rate

12.9%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	14.5%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	7.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	02 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Gerdau: Infrastructure Spending Could Fuel Growth In Face Of Cheap Chinese Steel

Feb 10

Gerdau S.A.: Assessing If Storm Clouds Are Beginning To Form (Technical Analysis)

Jan 31

Gerdau: Q3 Earnings, Limited Short-Term Catalysts, Raises Concerns

Nov 16

Gerdau: Valuation Matters In The Downturn

Sep 19

Gerdau: Still Performing, But I'm Still Careful And May Rotate Here

Aug 15

Gerdau Is Positioned For Long-Term Success

May 26

Gerdau: Remains A Solid Income Play

Feb 07

Gerdau: A Solid Play At The Right Price, Just Not Now

Dec 07

Gerdau reports Q3 results

Nov 09

Gerdau Could Thrive Amidst Weakening Demand For Steel

Sep 27

Gerdau: Still Some Questions, But Now A 'Buy'

Aug 09

Gerdau Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 02

Macro And Conflicts Set Upside Potential For Gerdau S.A.

May 17

Gerdau Worth Another Look As Healthy Demand Leads To A More Gradual Down-Cycle

Mar 04

Gerdau - Not My Current Steel Choice

Dec 26

Gerdau Set For Record Cash Flows, But Investors Seem To Have Moved On

Sep 08

Gerdau: Further Gains On The Cards

Jun 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GGB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	77,455	5,103	4,107	8,222	8
12/31/2026	72,157	4,698	1,755	7,203	12
12/31/2025	69,399	5,093	1,243	9,621	9
3/31/2025	68,192	3,272	4,742	11,451	N/A
12/31/2024	67,027	4,566	5,435	11,381	N/A
9/30/2024	64,920	4,828	6,596	12,208	N/A
6/30/2024	64,605	5,063	3,296	8,725	N/A
3/31/2024	66,254	6,339	4,542	10,006	N/A
12/31/2023	68,916	7,502	5,802	11,139	N/A
9/30/2023	72,165	8,131	3,745	9,250	N/A
6/30/2023	76,251	9,560	5,056	10,153	N/A
3/31/2023	80,954	11,707	5,960	10,794	N/A
12/31/2022	82,412	11,426	6,669	11,150	N/A
9/30/2022	86,003	13,713	13,238	17,248	N/A
6/30/2022	86,171	16,296	12,840	16,575	N/A
3/31/2022	82,333	15,968	9,919	13,268	N/A
12/31/2021	78,345	15,494	9,325	12,517	N/A
9/30/2021	70,410	13,047	4,751	7,290	N/A
6/30/2021	61,315	8,239	5,116	7,199	N/A
3/31/2021	50,930	4,600	5,047	6,815	N/A
12/31/2020	43,815	2,366	4,603	6,408	N/A
9/30/2020	39,728	1,417	1,946	3,653	N/A
6/30/2020	37,437	917	895	2,783	N/A
3/31/2020	38,846	971	1,118	3,161	N/A
12/31/2019	39,644	1,204	-204	1,643	N/A
9/30/2019	41,010	1,488	1,810	3,520	N/A
6/30/2019	43,915	1,987	442	1,938	N/A
3/31/2019	45,796	2,312	492	1,847	N/A
12/31/2018	46,159	2,304	N/A	2,000	N/A
9/30/2018	45,077	536	N/A	2,573	N/A
6/30/2018	41,717	-114	N/A	2,308	N/A
3/31/2018	38,848	-734	N/A	1,836	N/A
12/31/2017	36,918	-359	N/A	2,076	N/A
9/30/2017	35,720	-2,039	N/A	1,465	N/A
6/30/2017	34,943	-2,082	N/A	2,060	N/A
3/31/2017	36,026	-2,084	N/A	2,624	N/A
12/31/2016	37,652	-2,891	N/A	3,516	N/A
9/30/2016	39,481	-2,984	N/A	3,791	N/A
6/30/2016	42,708	-5,018	N/A	6,409	N/A
3/31/2016	43,218	-4,836	N/A	7,147	N/A
12/31/2015	43,581	-4,551	N/A	7,162	N/A
9/30/2015	43,976	-997	N/A	5,827	N/A
6/30/2015	42,757	1,198	N/A	3,515	N/A
3/31/2015	42,440	1,299	N/A	3,348	N/A
12/31/2014	42,546	1,403	N/A	2,571	N/A
9/30/2014	42,024	1,456	N/A	2,844	N/A
6/30/2014	41,812	1,799	N/A	4,007	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GGB's forecast earnings growth (13.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: GGB's earnings (13.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GGB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GGB's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GGB's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GGB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.6%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/02 21:28
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Gerdau S.A. is covered by 33 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Rodrigo Ferraz	Banco Brascan S.A.
Leonardo Correa	Barclays
Mary Cleia da Silva	BB Banco de Investimento S.A.

Gerdau Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Gerdau Q1 Earnings: Upside Is Interesting, But There Are No Triggers

Gerdau S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 10, 2025

Gerdau S.A. Announces Dividend Distribution to Be Paid Based on Fourth Quarter 2024 Results, Payable on March 14, 2025

Gerdau S.A. (BOVESPA:GGBR4) completed the acquisition of remaining 41.23% stake in Gerdau Summit Acos Fundidos e Forjados S.A. from Sumitomo Corporation (TSE:8053) and The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. (TSE:5631).

Gerdau Steel: Solid Balance Sheet Outweighed By Imports Into Brazil

Gerdau: Continued Underperformance Eventually Going Into An Upside

Gerdau S.A. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 30, 2025

Gerdau S.A. (BOVESPA:GGBR4) entered into an agreement to acquire remaining 41.23% stake in Gerdau Summit Acos Fundidos e Forjados S.A. from Sumitomo Corporation (TSE:8053) and The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. (TSE:5631) for $32.6 million.

Gerdau S.A. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 19, 2025

Gerdau S.A. Declares Dividend

Gerdau Q2: No Prospect Of Robust Improvement In The Short Term

Gerdau: Demand From The Automotive Industry And Undervalued

Gerdau: Underperforming Since My 'Hold' Rating

Gerdau: Cheap Stock Void Of Direction