Gerdau S.A.

NYSE:GGB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.8b

Gerdau Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Gerdau is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 3% and 4.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.5% in 3 years.

Key information

3.0%

Earnings growth rate

6.5%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth22.0%
Revenue growth rate4.8%
Future return on equity7.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Gerdau: Continued Underperformance Eventually Going Into An Upside

Dec 18

Gerdau Q2: No Prospect Of Robust Improvement In The Short Term

Sep 29

Gerdau: Demand From The Automotive Industry And Undervalued

Sep 03

Gerdau: Underperforming Since My 'Hold' Rating

Jul 22

Gerdau: Cheap Stock Void Of Direction

May 08

Gerdau: Infrastructure Spending Could Fuel Growth In Face Of Cheap Chinese Steel

Feb 10

Gerdau S.A.: Assessing If Storm Clouds Are Beginning To Form (Technical Analysis)

Jan 31

Gerdau: Q3 Earnings, Limited Short-Term Catalysts, Raises Concerns

Nov 16

Gerdau: Valuation Matters In The Downturn

Sep 19

Gerdau: Still Performing, But I'm Still Careful And May Rotate Here

Aug 15

Gerdau Is Positioned For Long-Term Success

May 26

Gerdau: Remains A Solid Income Play

Feb 07

Gerdau: A Solid Play At The Right Price, Just Not Now

Dec 07

Gerdau reports Q3 results

Nov 09

Gerdau Could Thrive Amidst Weakening Demand For Steel

Sep 27

Gerdau: Still Some Questions, But Now A 'Buy'

Aug 09

Gerdau Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 02

Macro And Conflicts Set Upside Potential For Gerdau S.A.

May 17

Gerdau Worth Another Look As Healthy Demand Leads To A More Gradual Down-Cycle

Mar 04

Gerdau - Not My Current Steel Choice

Dec 26

Gerdau Set For Record Cash Flows, But Investors Seem To Have Moved On

Sep 08

Gerdau: Further Gains On The Cards

Jun 22

Gerdau reports Q1 results

May 05

Gerdau goes ex-dividend tomorrow

Dec 21

Gerdau S.A.: Assessing Its Long-Term Potential

Dec 10

Gerdau goes ex-dividend on Monday

Nov 06

Gerdau S.A. 2020 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation

Oct 30

Gerdau reports Q3 results

Oct 28

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GGB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202776,3534,5914,890N/A2
12/31/202672,5725,4713,2857,0999
12/31/202570,0355,6342,9859,32311
12/31/202466,5765,2252,5829,1939
9/30/202464,9204,8286,59612,208N/A
6/30/202464,6055,0633,2968,725N/A
3/31/202466,2546,3394,54210,006N/A
12/31/202368,9167,5025,80211,139N/A
9/30/202372,1658,1313,7459,250N/A
6/30/202376,2519,5605,05610,153N/A
3/31/202380,95411,7075,96010,794N/A
12/31/202282,41211,4266,66911,150N/A
9/30/202286,00313,71313,23817,248N/A
6/30/202286,17116,29612,84016,575N/A
3/31/202282,33315,9689,91913,268N/A
12/31/202178,34515,4949,32512,517N/A
9/30/202170,41013,0474,7517,290N/A
6/30/202161,3158,2395,1167,199N/A
3/31/202150,9304,6005,0476,815N/A
12/31/202043,8152,3664,6036,408N/A
9/30/202039,7281,4171,9463,653N/A
6/30/202037,4379178952,783N/A
3/31/202038,8469711,1183,161N/A
12/31/201939,6441,204-2041,643N/A
9/30/201941,0101,4881,8103,520N/A
6/30/201943,9151,9874421,938N/A
3/31/201945,7962,3124921,847N/A
12/31/201846,1592,3047372,000N/A
9/30/201845,0775361,4122,573N/A
6/30/201841,717-114N/A2,308N/A
3/31/201838,848-734N/A1,836N/A
12/31/201736,918-359N/A2,076N/A
9/30/201735,720-2,039N/A1,465N/A
6/30/201734,943-2,082N/A2,060N/A
3/31/201736,026-2,084N/A2,624N/A
12/31/201637,652-2,891N/A3,516N/A
9/30/201639,481-2,984N/A3,791N/A
6/30/201642,708-5,018N/A6,409N/A
3/31/201643,218-4,836N/A7,147N/A
12/31/201543,581-4,551N/A7,162N/A
9/30/201543,976-997N/A5,827N/A
6/30/201542,7571,198N/A3,515N/A
3/31/201542,4401,299N/A3,348N/A
12/31/201442,5461,403N/A2,571N/A
9/30/201442,0241,456N/A2,844N/A
6/30/201441,8121,799N/A4,007N/A
3/31/201441,2511,833N/A3,799N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GGB's forecast earnings growth (3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GGB's earnings (3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GGB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GGB's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GGB's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GGB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/21 01:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/21 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Gerdau S.A. is covered by 36 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rodrigo FerrazBanco Brascan S.A.
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Mary Cleia da SilvaBB Banco de Investimento S.A.