Fortuna Mining Corp.

NYSE:FSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Fortuna Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Fortuna Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.2% and 18.9% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 24.3% per annum.

Key information

25.2%

Earnings growth rate

24.34%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth13.6%
Revenue growth rate18.9%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 01

Fortuna Mining: Valuation Starting To Improve

Summary Fortuna Mining put together solid results in 2025 despite setbacks at Lindero and had another strong quarter in Q1'26 at Seguela, tracking well against annual guidance. Meanwhile, although recent non-core asset sales have been a dent in per share metrics, two growth projects are set to push production towards 500,00 GEOs by 2029. On a negative note, this growth comes entirely from West Africa, which has put severe pressure on FSM's multiples even as free cash flow per share continues to climb. In this update we'll dig into FSM's recent operating results and how the stock stacks up vs. peers on valuation, with it now sitting ~32% off its highs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 23

Fortuna Mining Corp. – Earn-In Agreement for Quartzstone Gold Project, Guyana

Fortuna Mining Corp. has entered into an earn-in agreement with Qstone Inc.
New Narrative • Apr 16

Fortuna Mining Corp. – Q1 2026 Production Update and Growth Pipeline Execution

Author: Qudus Adebara (FOUNDER of Wane Investment House) Fortuna Mining Corp. has reported a solid operational performance for the first quarter of 2026, underpinned by steady production growth, advancing expansion projects, and continued capital returns to shareholders.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Fortuna Mining: Potentially More Value For Investors

Summary Fortuna Mining Corp. is recommended as a Hold due to high current valuations, despite strong gold prices and efficient operations. The company has streamlined its portfolio by divesting non-core, high-cost mines in Burkina Faso and Mexico, improving financial stability. Fortuna's consistent gold production and cost management, coupled with share buybacks, are returning value to shareholders. Investors should consider adding to positions during potential market dips, as they would be much better positioned as the outlook for gold and Fortuna remains optimistic. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Fortuna Mining: Beware The 2026 Production Cliff

Summary Fortuna Mining reported production of ~96,000 ounces of gold and ~844,000 ounces of silver in Q4-24, translating to a 7% and 37% decline in production, respectively. Unfortunately, this weaker Q4-24 resulted in the company breaking its three-year streak of beating its annual guidance midpoint (gold/silver only), with Fortuna reporting a slight miss in FY2024. The bigger issue, though, is that Fortuna will go from five mines in 2024 to three mines by H2-26 with Yaramoko nearing the end of its mine life. In this update, we'll dig into the Q4 & FY2024 results, recent developments and whether the sharply declining production is priced into FSM's stock currently. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 05

Fortuna Mining: High Costs, Declining Production, And Risky Operations Make Me Avoid

Summary Fortuna Mining faces declining production, with the closure of the San Jose mine in 2025 and no new projects imminent. The company operates in riskier jurisdictions, which adds operational risks and impacts its valuation compared to peers in safer locations. Despite a strong balance sheet and a forecast 17% discount to fair value, high G&A expenses, and limited growth catalysts weigh on the investment outlook. I assign a hold rating due to declining production, higher jurisdictional risks, and better risk/reward opportunities available in the gold mining sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 28

Bullish Gold Boosts Fortuna Mining Outlook, Shares Trade Low

Summary Fortuna Mining Corp. receives a “Buy” rating. Its primary commodity, gold, is seeing per-ounce prices rise, driven by interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve and robust safe-haven demand. The company's profitability is expected to improve, supported by bullish gold prices above all else, consistent production, operational efficiencies, and disciplined capital allocation to assets development. Fortuna improves its financial position: increased liquidity and less dependence on expensive loans. The financial position supports the company in its goal of drawing significant growth potential from ongoing projects. Shares are currently trading lower, representing a potential buying opportunity to benefit from expected earnings improvements and the mineral progress achievable with a solid balance sheet. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 09

Fortuna Mining: High Production Cost, Short Mine Life, And Elevated Jurisdiction Risk

Summary During the first half of 2024, Séguéla and Yaramoko generated operating income of $85.7 million, which is roughly equivalent to 85% of the total operating income of $102.6 million. Although Yaramoko and Séguéla are low-cost production centers for Fortuna, they are pretty much at the center of the industry's all-in-sustaining costs curve. The proven and probable reserves at Yaramoko are estimated at only 219,000 ounces, which is the equivalent of a reserve life index of approximately 2.0 years based on the 2024. In my view, Fortuna could be incentivized to purchase assets in an attempt to replace production volumes, and this dynamic points toward capital allocation risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 25

Fortuna Mining: Another Solid Quarter In Q2

Summary Fortuna Mining reported a solid Q2 with a 25% increase in gold production, but a 22% decrease in silver production. However, with Fortuna continuing to trade at a premium despite a shorter weighted average mine life than its peers, some of this solid execution looks priced into the stock already. In this update, we'll dig into the preliminary Q2 results, recent developments, and how the stock's valuation stacks up vs. peers after its outperformance in Q2. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 26

Fortuna Silver Mines: A Premium Valuation Relative To Tier-2/3 Jurisdiction Peers

Summary Fortuna Silver saw a significant decline in silver production in Q1, but offset it with a 49% increase in gold production with its new Seguela Mine in commercial production. This translated to a 28% increase in revenue and improved free cash flow generation, with net debt reduced to ~$80 million. In this update, we'll dig into the Q1 results, recent developments, and how the stock's valuation stacks up vs. peers: Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 11

Fortuna Silver Mines' Future Looks Bright

Summary Demand for silver is rising due to the push for a cleaner environment and the pursuit of The Green Dream. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is a Canadian mining company with mines in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire, Peru, and Mexico. The company's Q1 2024 report shows an increase in gold equivalent production and gold production, but a decrease in silver production compared to previous periods. The stock price has rallied well of late, with greater capital gains still to come. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Fortuna Silver Mines: A Phenomenal First Year For Seguela

Summary Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. had a satisfactory year overall, with production coming in above expectations at its new Seguela Mine. However, higher costs at its Lindero and San Jose mines resulted in full-year all-in sustaining costs per gold-equivalent ounce coming in well above the industry average. In this update we'll dig into the Q4 and FY2023 results, recent developments, and if the stock is attractive at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

Fortuna Silver Mines: Underwhelming 2024 Guidance

Summary Fortuna Silver Mines had a solid Q4 and FY2023, with its two West African operations easily beating its guidance mid-point. However, while gold production will increase further in 2024, costs are expected to increase significantly, and the outlook at San Jose looks bleaker than it did heading into 2023. In this update, we'll dig into the Q4/FY2023 results, the forward outlook, and where Fortuna's updated low-risk buy zone lies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:FSM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,961756854N/A1
12/31/20271,5695643966793
12/31/20261,4324925198072
3/31/20261,094344365550N/A
12/31/2025947265289467N/A
9/30/2025872210270455N/A
6/30/2025802120258437N/A
3/31/202572898271443N/A
12/31/202467777205366N/A
9/30/2024747-28159320N/A
6/30/2024809-34178334N/A
3/31/2024811-50122304N/A
12/31/2023842-5180297N/A
9/30/2023742-1114241N/A
6/30/2023665-143-61200N/A
3/31/2023675-143-47203N/A
12/31/2022681-128-59194N/A
9/30/202271640-41202N/A
6/30/202271244-60176N/A
3/31/202266458-42159N/A
12/31/202160058-5147N/A
9/30/20215046133147N/A
6/30/20214257468140N/A
3/31/20213495239111N/A
12/31/202027922093N/A
9/30/202024422-6652N/A
6/30/20202221-15637N/A
3/31/202024617-17360N/A
12/31/201925724N/A60N/A
9/30/20192487N/A65N/A
6/30/201924622N/A69N/A
3/31/201925222N/A67N/A
12/31/201826334N/A83N/A
9/30/201827966N/A93N/A
6/30/201828369N/A92N/A
3/31/201827467N/A81N/A
12/31/201726866N/A70N/A
9/30/201725139N/A67N/A
6/30/201725239N/A76N/A
3/31/201723228N/A62N/A
12/31/201621018N/A53N/A
9/30/2016189-6N/A50N/A
6/30/2016163-14N/A39N/A
3/31/2016158-12N/A46N/A
12/31/2015155-11N/A55N/A
9/30/20151567N/A41N/A
6/30/201516312N/A43N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FSM's forecast earnings growth (25.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: FSM's earnings (25.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FSM's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: FSM's revenue (18.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FSM's revenue (18.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if FSM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 10:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fortuna Mining Corp. is covered by 17 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Heiko IhleAlliance Global Partners
Richard GrayATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Kevin O'HalloranBMO Capital Markets Equity Research