Ecolab Valuation

Is ECL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ECL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$248.42
Fair Value
1.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ECL ($252.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($248.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ECL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ECL?

Key metric: As ECL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ECL. This is calculated by dividing ECL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ECL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35x
EarningsUS$2.04b
Market CapUS$69.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ECL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ECL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.4x
SHW Sherwin-Williams
34.2x6.1%US$90.5b
PPG PPG Industries
19.1x7.4%US$28.4b
DD DuPont de Nemours
63.1x23.7%US$32.0b
RPM RPM International
25.2x9.1%US$16.2b
ECL Ecolab
35x6.3%US$69.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ECL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the peer average (35.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ECL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.06xn/aUS$9.69m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.4xn/aUS$1.79m
VYST Vystar
1.4xn/aUS$1.38m
ECL 35.0xIndustry Avg. 23.5xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ECL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (23.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ECL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ECL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ECL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ECL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$252.51
US$272.96
+8.1%
9.3%US$300.00US$215.00n/a20
Jan ’26US$234.32
US$275.96
+17.8%
9.7%US$310.00US$215.00n/a21
Dec ’25US$248.77
US$274.62
+10.4%
9.9%US$310.00US$215.00n/a21
Nov ’25US$244.57
US$272.72
+11.5%
9.8%US$310.00US$215.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$253.55
US$258.01
+1.8%
10.0%US$306.00US$215.00n/a21
Sep ’25US$253.18
US$253.73
+0.2%
8.0%US$291.00US$215.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$240.24
US$250.63
+4.3%
9.6%US$291.00US$200.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$235.50
US$241.44
+2.5%
7.1%US$270.00US$200.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$232.20
US$241.44
+4.0%
7.1%US$270.00US$200.00n/a21
May ’25US$224.98
US$236.19
+5.0%
9.5%US$269.00US$180.00n/a22
Apr ’25US$227.93
US$224.70
-1.4%
7.9%US$260.00US$180.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$225.51
US$226.70
+0.5%
7.7%US$260.00US$180.00n/a20
Feb ’25US$200.03
US$205.36
+2.7%
8.4%US$240.00US$180.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$198.35
US$200.35
+1.0%
7.5%US$240.00US$180.00US$234.3222
Dec ’24US$192.40
US$197.07
+2.4%
5.9%US$215.00US$180.00US$248.7722
Nov ’24US$167.21
US$195.65
+17.0%
5.6%US$215.00US$180.00US$244.5721
Oct ’24US$169.40
US$198.46
+17.2%
5.4%US$220.00US$180.00US$253.5521
Sep ’24US$182.70
US$198.16
+8.5%
6.3%US$220.00US$170.00US$253.1822
Aug ’24US$185.17
US$191.33
+3.3%
8.1%US$213.00US$165.00US$240.2421
Jul ’24US$186.69
US$182.95
-2.0%
7.0%US$213.00US$163.00US$235.5022
Jun ’24US$169.12
US$183.05
+8.2%
7.2%US$213.00US$163.00US$232.2021
May ’24US$168.78
US$172.38
+2.1%
8.2%US$210.00US$145.00US$224.9821
Apr ’24US$165.53
US$172.33
+4.1%
7.9%US$210.00US$145.00US$227.9321
Mar ’24US$158.52
US$171.68
+8.3%
7.9%US$210.00US$145.00US$225.5122
Feb ’24US$155.73
US$164.57
+5.7%
10.0%US$210.00US$135.00US$200.0321
Jan ’24US$145.56
US$164.05
+12.7%
10.3%US$210.00US$135.00US$198.3520
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
US$272.96
Fair Value
7.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 06:09
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ecolab Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Colin IsaacAtlantic Equities LLP
Andrew WittmannBaird