Stock Analysis

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:DNA) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 47% Slump

NYSE:DNA
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DNA) share price has dived 47% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 77% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may still consider Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DNA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 18th 2024

How Has Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the industry. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 46% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 109% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% per annum over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.3% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings' very lofty P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com