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AdvanSix (NYSE:ASIX) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at AdvanSix (NYSE:ASIX) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on AdvanSix is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.061 = US$70m ÷ (US$1.5b - US$359m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Thus, AdvanSix has an ROCE of 6.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 9.7%.
See our latest analysis for AdvanSix
In the above chart we have measured AdvanSix's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for AdvanSix .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at AdvanSix doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 12%, but since then they've fallen to 6.1%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
In Conclusion...
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for AdvanSix have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. And long term shareholders have watched their investments stay flat over the last five years. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for AdvanSix you'll probably want to know about.
While AdvanSix isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:ASIX
AdvanSix
Engages in the manufacture and sale of polymer resins in the United States and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.