Stock Analysis

AdvanSix (NYSE:ASIX) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.16

NYSE:ASIX
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AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE:ASIX) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.16 per share on the 27th of August. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 2.3%, which is around the industry average.

View our latest analysis for AdvanSix

AdvanSix's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Before this announcement, AdvanSix was paying out 204% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 129.5% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 88%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.

historic-dividend
NYSE:ASIX Historic Dividend August 5th 2024

AdvanSix Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. Since 2021, the annual payment back then was $0.50, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.64. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.6% a year over that time. The dividend has been growing as a reasonable rate, which we like. However, investors will probably want to see a longer track record before they consider AdvanSix to be a consistent dividend paying stock.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. AdvanSix's earnings per share has shrunk at 32% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

We're Not Big Fans Of AdvanSix's Dividend

Overall, this isn't a great candidate as an income investment, even though the dividend was stable this year. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, AdvanSix has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about. Is AdvanSix not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.