Aris Mining Corporation

NYSE:ARIS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.7b

Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Aris Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 40.5% and 26% per annum respectively.

Key information

40.5%

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth13.8%
Revenue growth rate26.0%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 06

Aris Mining: The Highest-Production-Growth Gold Miner

Summary Aris Mining is my top gold sector pick, rated strong buy, with a well-structured plan to quadruple production by 2031. ARIS targets 500k oz annual gold production by 2028, with major expansions in Guyana and Soto Norte driving output to 1m oz by 2031. Assuming $4,300/oz gold, ARIS EBITDA is projected to triple by 2027 and exceed $2.9bn long term, fully funding $2.1bn capex without dividends or buybacks. Despite sector volatility and risks, ARIS offers over 100% upside to a $38 2027 price target, supported by aggressive, cash flow-funded growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:ARIS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,4557296361,0232
12/31/20272,3356535198762
12/31/20261,670N/A2856141
3/31/20261,143174201485N/A
12/31/202592878104373N/A
9/30/202577049106333N/A
6/30/2025647537259N/A
3/31/202556128-30189N/A
12/31/202451125-54141N/A
9/30/2024485-3-11173N/A
6/30/202446613-7087N/A
3/31/202445817-5384N/A
12/31/202344811-16105N/A
9/30/202342617-2587N/A
6/30/2023403-46-5650N/A
3/31/2023396-16-4572N/A
12/31/2022400-5-4077N/A
9/30/20223902-1591N/A
6/30/20223877618110N/A
3/31/2022385671991N/A
12/31/20213831861781N/A
9/30/20213851431783N/A
6/30/202140214259124N/A
3/31/20213769548118N/A
12/31/2020375-564136N/A
9/30/2020364-11781143N/A
6/30/2020335-13247105N/A
3/31/2020336-11568116N/A
12/31/2019313-131N/A104N/A
9/30/201929426N/A92N/A
6/30/201927831N/A82N/A
3/31/2019270-1N/A87N/A
12/31/2018257-3N/A80N/A
9/30/2018260-7N/A74N/A
6/30/2018237-22N/A65N/A
3/31/201822443N/A54N/A
12/31/201720637N/A51N/A
9/30/201718617N/A41N/A
6/30/201719426N/A39N/A
3/31/2017187-8N/A36N/A
12/31/20161764N/A33N/A
9/30/20161600N/A33N/A
6/30/2016149-2N/A34N/A
3/31/20161331N/A34N/A
12/31/2015129-13N/A33N/A
9/30/201513018N/A28N/A
6/30/201512424N/A19N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARIS's forecast earnings growth (40.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: ARIS's earnings (40.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ARIS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ARIS's revenue (26% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ARIS's revenue (26% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ARIS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/26 12:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aris Mining Corporation is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard GrayATB Cormark
Richard GrayATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research