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Alamos Gold Inc.NYSE:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap US$12.4b
Share Price
US$36.34
US$66.74
45.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y37.4%
7D3.2%
1D
Portfolio Value
​
View

Alamos Gold Inc.

NYSE:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.4b

Alamos Gold (AGI) Stock Overview

Operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. More details

AGI fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance6/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 81.4% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 16.47% per year

Earnings grew by 312.6% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 83.7%

Risk Analysis

AGI passed our risk checks.

AGI Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 31 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

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Alamos Gold Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Alamos Gold
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$36.34
52 Week HighCA$55.41
52 Week LowCA$23.92
Beta1.27
1 Month Change-7.41%
3 Month Change-5.04%
1 Year Change37.39%
3 Year Change210.07%
5 Year Change371.34%
Change since IPO634.14%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • May 31

Alamos Gold: A Goldmine For Believers In Gold

Summary Alamos Gold (AGI) is a leveraged bet on gold, offering amplified returns relative to simply holding gold, through multiple expansion. At 0.88x NAV, the stock trades at a cheap valuation relative to its mine-by-mine intrinsic value, with an upside potential even before any re-rating. With management guiding declining AISC and growing production through 2028, the company presents meaningful earnings upside even if gold prices simply sustain at current levels. I rate AGI a Strong Buy, with 67% upside to $67/share at $4,500/oz gold, expanding to 125% if gold reaches $5,000/oz. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 31

Alamos Gold: A Goldmine For Believers In Gold

Summary Alamos Gold (AGI) is a leveraged bet on gold, offering amplified returns relative to simply holding gold, through multiple expansion. At 0.88x NAV, the stock trades at a cheap valuation relative to its mine-by-mine intrinsic value, with an upside potential even before any re-rating. With management guiding declining AISC and growing production through 2028, the company presents meaningful earnings upside even if gold prices simply sustain at current levels. I rate AGI a Strong Buy, with 67% upside to $67/share at $4,500/oz gold, expanding to 125% if gold reaches $5,000/oz. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 20

Alamos Gold: Strong Q4 Financials And Excellent Reserve Growth

Summary Alamos Gold is a high-quality gold mining company with significant growth prospects in Canada, particularly through the Lynn Lake and Island Gold District projects. The company reported record financials in Q4 2024, driven by a high gold price and effective cost control, despite an 8% production decline. Proven and probable reserves grew by 31% in 2024, with significant contributions from the acquisition of Magino and strong exploration results at Island Gold. Alamos Gold is generating substantial surplus cash, supporting its aggressive growth strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 03

Alamos: A Tasty Morsel For Agnico Eagle

Summary Alamos Gold's strong financials, including a 41% YoY revenue rise and 100% EPS growth, make it a prime investment candidate. The company's long mine life, low ASIC, and high-quality assets in stable jurisdictions enhance its attractiveness. Agnico Eagle's history of strategic acquisitions and strong financial position make a takeover of Alamos plausible and beneficial. A merger would offer operational synergies, resource growth, and financial benefits, making Alamos a valuable target for Agnico Eagle. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 14

Alamos Gold Meets 2024 Guidance And Provides Strong 3-Year Guidance

Summary Alamos Gold Inc.'s 2024 production was 567Koz, with Young-Davidson and Magino below guidance, while Island Gold and Mulatos District exceeded expectations. The 3-year guidance projects production growth of 7% in 2025, 8% in 2026, and 8% in 2027, with Lynn Lake coming online in 2028. All-in sustaining costs are expected to decrease over the coming years, despite inflationary pressures. Alamos Gold has a strong balance sheet with $325M in cash and minimal debt, supporting aggressive growth investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 09

Alamos Gold: A Solid Buy-The-Dip Candidate

Summary Alamos Gold reported record Q3-24 production and revenue, driven by the acquisition of Argonaut Gold and higher grades at its flagship Island Gold Mine. Although costs were higher year-over-year, this was related to several short-term impacts, including higher costs at Magino, elevated SBC & fewer ounces sold than produced because of the timing of sales. Most importantly, Alamos boasts an industry-leading growth profile, with an asset base and pipeline that can support production of nearly 1.0 million ounces per annum. In this update we'll dig into the Q3-24 results, recent developments, and why Alamos Gold is likely to remain a sector leader and why its premium multiple is justified. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 07

Alamos Gold: A High-Quality Gold Miner That Does Just About Everything Right

Summary Alamos Gold Inc. is a low-cost, high-quality gold mining company with strong growth potential, operating in Canada and Mexico. The company reported record Q3 2024 revenue of $361M, driven by high gold prices and increased production from the Magino mine. Despite a temporary rise in costs due to Magino, Alamos Gold maintains healthy margins and expects costs to decrease significantly by 2026. With a strong balance sheet and ongoing investments in growth, Alamos Gold remains a compelling investment, though commodity price risks and project delays are potential risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 04

Alamos Gold: Healthy Production Growth Amidst Precious Metal Uptrend

Summary Alamos Gold is rated a "Buy" with a 24-30 month horizon due to strong production growth, and favorable gold price trends. Revised production guidance shows significant growth, with 2024-2026 production expected to increase substantially, supporting robust revenue and cash flow growth. AGI has strong financial flexibility, low leverage, and potential for higher dividends, driven by production growth and lower all-in-sustaining costs. Analysts forecast a 13.9% upside in the next 12 months, with the potential for more if gold prices continue to rise, making Alamos stock a compelling investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 11

Alamos Gold: Firing On All Cylinders

Summary Alamos Gold Inc. reported record Q2-24 gold production of ~139,100 ounces (ca. 5 t), driven by solid performance across the board from all three mines. From a bigger picture standpoint, Alamos' recent moves have positioned it to potentially grow into a near 1Moz gold producer by 2030 at industry-leading AISC, commanding a much higher valuation. In this update, we'll dig into Alamos' Q2-24 results, H1-24 developments, and why the stock continues to be a staple for any precious metals portfolio. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 21

Alamos Gold: Significant Reserve Per Share Growth On Deck

Summary Alamos Gold continues to report impressive reserve/resource growth, has created a Tier-1 mining complex at Island/Magino and continues to lead its peers in per share metrics. However, its future could not be more bright, with Alamos having a rare setup of growth and quality that is arguably unrivaled in the sector. In this update, we'll dig into its recent reserve update and why Alamos may be the closest the sector gets to another Agnico Eagle/Kirkland Lake, which should command a premium. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 02

Alamos Gold: An Impressive Q2 With An AISC Margin Of $1,240/Oz

Summary Alamos Gold Inc. reported record Q2 results with $181M EBITDA, $97M adjusted net earnings, and $107M free cash flow, driven by record gold production. The acquisition of Argonaut Gold's Magino project has positioned Alamos Gold for future growth. Exploration success at Young-Davidson and Island Gold mines shows potential for increased reserves and production, making Alamos Gold a strong investment option. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

AGIUS Metals and MiningUS Market
7D3.2%-0.5%1.4%
1Y37.4%77.2%25.7%

Return vs Industry: AGI underperformed the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 74.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGI exceeded the US Market which returned 25.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGI volatility
AGI Average Weekly Movement7.9%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement9.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: AGI has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: AGI's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20032,400John McCluskeywww.alamosgold.com

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Alamos Gold Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Alamos Gold's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGI fundamental statistics
Market capUS$12.42b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.06b
Revenue (TTM)US$2.07b
11.7x
P/E Ratio
6.0x
P/S Ratio

Is AGI overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AGI income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.07b
Cost of RevenueUS$617.30m
Gross ProfitUS$1.46b
Other ExpensesUS$393.20m
EarningsUS$1.06b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.53
Gross Margin70.21%
Net Profit Margin51.24%
Debt/Equity Ratio4.3%

How did AGI perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.5%
Current Dividend Yield
5%
Payout Ratio

Does AGI pay a reliable dividends?

See AGI dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy AGI by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Alamos Gold dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateJun 11 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 25 2026
Days until Ex dividend10 days
Days until Dividend pay date4 days

Does AGI pay a reliable dividends?

See AGI dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/20 22:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alamos Gold Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Sathish KasinathanBofA Global Research
Carey MacRuryCanaccord Genuity