USA Rare Earth, Inc.

NasdaqGM:USAR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

USA Rare Earth Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

USA Rare Earth is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 66.5% and 50.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 76.2% per annum.

Key information

66.5%

Earnings growth rate

76.25%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth13.7%
Revenue growth rate50.4%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 22

USA Rare Earth: The Thesis Just Got So Much More Bullish

Summary USA Rare Earth remains a Strong Buy as the Serra Verde acquisition secures critical feedstock and vertically integrates operations. USAR's $2.8B Serra Verde deal is highly strategic, providing nearly 50% non-China rare earth oxide supply by 2027 and significant EBITDA growth. Despite substantial dilution, USAR's forward 2030 EV/EBITDA of 2.54x versus the sector's 8.53x presents substantial rerating potential. Operational risk is mitigated by price floors and robust liquidity, positioning USAR for organic expansion and resilience to commodity price swings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative Apr 08

USA Rare Earth Inc. (USAR): Building the "Mine-to-Magnet" Fortress for U.S. National Security

USA Rare Earth Inc. (USAR) , a development-stage leader in the domestic critical minerals sector, closed the April 8, 2026, session at $16.78 USD on the NASDAQ.
New Narrative Apr 03

Magnet Capacity Expansion And Heavy Rare Earth Supply Will Reshape Long Term Ex China Chain

Catalysts About USA Rare Earth USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth mining, processing, metals and magnet manufacturing platform focused on ex China supply for the U.S. and allies. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative Mar 20

Heavy Rare Earth Supply Risks Will Test Magnet Ramp Before Long Term Potential Emerges

Catalysts About USA Rare Earth USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth mining, processing, metals, and magnet manufacturing platform focused on ex China supply for U.S. and allied customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative Mar 05

Magnet Capacity Ramp And Vertical Integration Will Reshape Long Term Rare Earth Supply Chains

Catalysts About USA Rare Earth USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth supply chain, from mining and processing to metal, alloy and magnet manufacturing, focused on ex China customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGM:USAR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,534-19-4285974
12/31/2027740-252-1,7752234
12/31/202689-116-1,073-362
12/31/20252-325-86-49N/A
9/30/2025N/A-285-39-25N/A
6/30/2025N/A-119-31-23N/A
3/31/2025N/A32-24-19N/A
12/31/2024N/A-24-16-13N/A
9/30/2024N/A-17-16-13N/A
6/30/2024N/A-4-18-17N/A
3/31/2024N/A-9-24-20N/A
12/31/2023N/A-13-28-22N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: USAR is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: USAR is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: USAR is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: USAR's revenue (50.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: USAR's revenue (50.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if USAR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/12 01:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/12 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Subhasish ChandraBenchmark Company
George GianarikasCanaccord Genuity
Derek SoderbergCantor Fitzgerald & Co.