PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited

OTCPK:PPCC.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$34.2b

PICC Property and Casualty Valuation

Is PPCC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PPCC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PPCC.F ($1.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PPCC.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PPCC.F?

Key metric: As PPCC.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PPCC.F. This is calculated by dividing PPCC.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PPCC.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.9x
EarningsCN¥22.82b
Market CapCN¥248.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PPCC.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PPCC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.3x
HIG Hartford Financial Services Group
11.6x7.7%US$35.0b
CINF Cincinnati Financial
8x-38.3%US$24.5b
ACGL Arch Capital Group
6.6x-14.7%US$37.4b
WRB W. R. Berkley
15x4.4%US$23.7b
PPCC.F PICC Property and Casualty
10.9x11.1%US$266.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PPCC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PPCC.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UTGN UTG
2xn/aUS$89.08m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.1xn/aUS$16.68m
CUII China United Insurance Service
0.0003xn/aUS$3.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
PPCC.F 10.9xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PPCC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PPCC.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PPCC.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PPCC.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PPCC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$1.69
0%
13.0%US$2.05US$0.98n/a19
Nov ’25n/a
US$1.69
0%
12.9%US$2.09US$1.00n/a19
Oct ’25n/a
US$1.58
0%
12.8%US$2.00US$0.95n/a20
Sep ’25n/a
US$1.58
0%
9.9%US$1.99US$1.24n/a20
Aug ’25n/a
US$1.54
0%
9.2%US$1.96US$1.22n/a20
Jul ’25n/a
US$1.53
0%
9.4%US$1.94US$1.21n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
US$1.54
0%
9.3%US$1.95US$1.21n/a21
May ’25n/a
US$1.54
0%
9.2%US$1.95US$1.21n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
US$1.53
0%
9.9%US$1.95US$1.21n/a22
Mar ’25US$1.31
US$1.46
+11.7%
11.1%US$1.89US$1.07n/a22
Feb ’25n/a
US$1.44
0%
9.6%US$1.78US$1.07n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
US$1.47
0%
7.2%US$1.71US$1.32n/a19
Dec ’24n/a
US$1.43
0%
9.0%US$1.70US$1.08n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
US$1.39
0%
9.0%US$1.66US$1.06n/a20
Oct ’24n/a
US$1.41
0%
8.9%US$1.66US$1.06n/a21
Sep ’24US$1.15
US$1.36
+18.6%
11.5%US$1.65US$1.07n/a22
Aug ’24n/a
US$1.34
0%
12.8%US$1.64US$1.04n/a22
Jul ’24n/a
US$1.32
0%
12.8%US$1.63US$1.03n/a22
Jun ’24n/a
US$1.32
0%
13.4%US$1.66US$1.03n/a22
May ’24n/a
US$1.32
0%
12.8%US$1.58US$1.03n/a22
Apr ’24n/a
US$1.24
0%
14.7%US$1.58US$0.98n/a22
Mar ’24US$0.91
US$1.24
+35.6%
17.2%US$1.56US$0.78US$1.3125
Feb ’24US$0.93
US$1.31
+40.2%
15.8%US$1.75US$0.94n/a25
Jan ’24n/a
US$1.36
0%
10.9%US$1.70US$1.09n/a25
Dec ’23n/a
US$1.34
0%
10.2%US$1.65US$1.07n/a25
Nov ’23n/a
US$1.30
0%
11.5%US$1.62US$0.99n/a28

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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