Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Oscar Health, Inc. (NYSE:OSCR) Stock Yet As It Plummets 27%

NYSE:OSCR
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Oscar Health, Inc. (NYSE:OSCR) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 213%.

Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Insurance industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Oscar Health as an attractive investment with its 0.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Oscar Health

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:OSCR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 29th 2024

How Has Oscar Health Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Oscar Health as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Oscar Health will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Oscar Health's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 23% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 5.2% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Oscar Health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Oscar Health's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Insurance companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

A look at Oscar Health's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Oscar Health that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.