Bowhead Specialty Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Bowhead Specialty Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 18.6% and 16.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.4% in 3 years.
Key information
18.6%
Earnings growth rate
16.99%
EPS growth rate
| Insurance earnings growth | 1.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 16.8% |
| Future return on equity | 15.39% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 03 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 22
BOW: Index Reclassification And Higher P E Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings to about $34.14 per share from roughly $31.43, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
Narrative Update • Jul 06
BOW: Strong Q1 Performance And Index Shift May Support Steady Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Bowhead Specialty Holdings from $27.00 to $30.00, citing a slightly higher profit margin outlook, a modestly richer future P/E assumption, and a small adjustment to the discount rate. What’s in the News for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Bowhead Specialty Holdings reported Q1 2026 revenues of US$155.7 million, up 26.9% year over year, with results 5.5% above analyst expectations, according to recent earnings coverage.Narrative Update • Jun 16
BOW: Higher Fair Value And P E Multiple Should Support Future Upside
Analysts kept their $31.43 price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings unchanged, citing stable assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in their updated models. What’s in the News for Bowhead Specialty Holdings No recent news stories, periodical coverage, or key developments were provided for Bowhead Specialty Holdings in the supplied sources.Narrative Update • Jun 01
BOW: Higher Fair Value And P E Multiple Should Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings to $31.43 from $29.86, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E estimates. What's in the News No recent news items, periodicals, or key developments were provided for Bowhead Specialty Holdings as of 1 Jun 2026.Analysis Article • May 08
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. Just Recorded A 19% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
A week ago, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. ( NYSE:BOW ) came out with a strong set of first-quarter numbers that could...Narrative Update • May 01
BOW: Stable Discount Rate And Higher Future P E Multiple Should Support Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Bowhead Specialty Holdings to $29.86. This reflects updated assumptions for profit margin and a slightly higher future P/E multiple, while keeping the fair value estimate steady.Narrative Update • Apr 15
BOW: Stable Discount Rate And Improved Margin Outlook Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their price target on Bowhead Specialty Holdings by about $1.43 per share to reflect slightly adjusted assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: trimmed from $31.29 to $29.86 per share, a modest downward adjustment to the estimated intrinsic value.Narrative Update • Apr 01
BOW: Unchanged Discount Rate And Stable P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts reaffirmed their $31.29 price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings, citing largely unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the basis for maintaining their view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The $31.29 estimate is unchanged, reflecting stable inputs across the model.Narrative Update • Mar 17
BOW: Stable Assumptions And Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Narrative Update on Bowhead Specialty Holdings The analyst price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings remains unchanged at $31.29, with analysts maintaining their view based on steady assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: $31.29 remains unchanged, indicating no adjustment to the core valuation estimate.
New Narrative • Mar 14
Digital Underwriting Strength Will Drive Long Term Value For This Specialty Insurer
Catalysts About Bowhead Specialty Holdings Bowhead Specialty Holdings is a specialty insurer focused on casualty, professional liability and healthcare liability, delivered through craft and digital underwriting models. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 03
BOW: Higher Growth Outlook And Lower Multiple Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their price target on Bowhead Specialty Holdings by $3 to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of $31.29, as they balance updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Reduced from $34.29 to $31.29, a modest cut that brings the implied upside closer to current market pricing.New Narrative • Feb 28
Digital Underwriting And Casualty Market Tailwinds Will Support A Steady Future Earnings Profile
Catalysts About Bowhead Specialty Holdings Bowhead Specialty Holdings is a specialty insurer focused on casualty, professional liability and healthcare liability, supported by both craft and digital underwriting models. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Feb 17
BOW: New Co Lead Underwriter Will Support Upcoming Fixed-Income Offering
Analysts have made only a minor adjustment to their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings, keeping fair value effectively unchanged at about $34.29. Small tweaks to the discount rate and forward P/E assumptions offset each other in their models.Narrative Update • Feb 03
BOW: Fixed-Income Offering And New Co Lead Underwriter Will Support Upside
Analysts have kept their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings steady at US$34.29, reflecting unchanged views on fair value, growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions, despite minor technical adjustments in the underlying model inputs. What's in the News J.P. Morgan Securities LLC has been added as Co Lead Underwriter for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.'s planned $150 million fixed income offering, indicating a change in the underwriting group for this deal (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 20
BOW: Fixed-Income Offering And New Co Lead Underwriter Will Support Upside
Analysts now see slightly lower upside for Bowhead Specialty Holdings, trimming their price target to US$34.29 from about US$34.86 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. What's in the News J.P. Morgan Securities LLC has been added as a Co Lead Underwriter for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.'s planned US$150 million fixed income offering (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 05
BOW: Fixed-Income Offering And Underwriter Addition Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings slightly higher, with a modest uplift that reflects small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and expected future P/E assumptions. What's in the News J.P. Morgan Securities LLC has been added as a Co Lead Underwriter for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.'s planned $150 million fixed income offering.Narrative Update • Dec 15
BOW: Fixed-Income Offering Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Bowhead Specialty Holdings by approximately 1 percent to about $34.57, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth that more than offsets a marginally lower profit margin outlook and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News J.P. Morgan Securities LLC has been added as Co Lead Underwriter for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.'s planned $150 million fixed income offering, reinforcing placement capacity in upcoming debt issuance (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 01
BOW: Fixed-Income Offering And Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings from $35.17 to $34.57. They cite modest decreases in projected revenue growth and profit margins as the primary factors for this adjustment.Narrative Update • Nov 17
BOW: Rising Discount Rate Will Drive Increased Future Returns
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings from $35.67 to $35.17, citing modest shifts in revenue growth projections and profitability assumptions. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has decreased slightly from $35.67 to $35.17.Narrative Update • Nov 01
BOW: Follow-On Equity Offering Completion Will Drive Future Market Opportunities
Analysts have maintained their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings at $35.67 per share. This reflects consistent expectations for the company's financial performance, based on stable key assumptions in the latest review.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Digital Underwriting And Automation Will Redefine Specialty Risk Solutions
Analysts have revised their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings downward from $38.33 to $35.67 per share, citing slightly slower projected revenue growth as the key reason for the adjustment. What's in the News Bowhead Specialty Holdings filed a follow-on equity offering, making 2,000,000 shares of common stock available.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Digital Underwriting And Automation Will Redefine Specialty Risk Solutions
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Bowhead Specialty Holdings from $39.17 to $38.33. They cite modestly reduced revenue growth expectations and a lower projected future price-to-earnings ratio.New Narrative • Jun 01
Baleen Underwriting Will Unlock Specialty Insurance Opportunities
Investment in proprietary technology and data analytics is driving efficient underwriting and margin improvement while supporting premium growth.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 931 | 99 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 812 | 83 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 687 | 66 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 6/30/2026 | 615 | 62 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 585 | 58 | 344 | 349 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 552 | 54 | 326 | 332 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 519 | 53 | 328 | 333 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 492 | 49 | 333 | 338 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 458 | 43 | 297 | 300 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 426 | 38 | 291 | 294 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 389 | 29 | 291 | 294 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 348 | 26 | 259 | 263 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 315 | 27 | 239 | 243 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 283 | 25 | 232 | 236 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 188 | 11 | 178 | 182 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BOW's forecast earnings growth (18.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: BOW's earnings (18.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: BOW's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: BOW's revenue (16.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BOW's revenue (16.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: BOW's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/04 00:35 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Matthew Carletti | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| Pablo Augusto Singzon | J.P. Morgan |
| Jamminder Bhullar | J.P. Morgan |