Pigeon Valuation

Is PIGE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PIGE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PIGE.F ($10.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PIGE.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PIGE.F?

Key metric: As PIGE.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PIGE.F. This is calculated by dividing PIGE.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PIGE.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.6x
EarningsJP¥5.57b
Market CapJP¥174.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PIGE.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PIGE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.2x
CENT Central Garden & Pet
25x14.4%US$2.3b
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings
25.9x14.1%US$2.6b
ENR Energizer Holdings
72.2x18.9%US$2.8b
ODC Oil-Dri Corporation of America
13.5xn/aUS$507.1m
PIGE.F Pigeon
31.6x13.2%US$174.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PIGE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the peer average (34.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PIGE.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PIGE.F 31.6xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PIGE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PIGE.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PIGE.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PIGE.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PIGE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$10.29
0%
11.7%US$12.00US$7.78n/a9
Nov ’25US$10.54
US$11.08
+5.1%
10.1%US$12.83US$9.45n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
US$11.28
0%
10.2%US$13.23US$9.75n/a8
Sep ’25n/a
US$10.55
0%
11.7%US$13.00US$8.89n/a8
Aug ’25n/a
US$9.75
0%
11.4%US$11.81US$8.08n/a8
Jul ’25n/a
US$9.75
0%
11.4%US$11.81US$8.08n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$10.31
0%
8.8%US$12.09US$9.42n/a7
May ’25n/a
US$11.15
0%
13.6%US$14.21US$9.56n/a7
Apr ’25US$9.69
US$12.45
+28.5%
16.5%US$15.42US$10.05n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
US$12.08
0%
17.4%US$15.34US$9.27n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
US$14.65
0%
39.7%US$30.46US$9.41n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
US$15.36
0%
41.0%US$31.64US$10.62n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
US$15.16
0%
37.3%US$30.64US$10.28n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$14.27
0%
20.9%US$19.38US$10.09US$10.5410
Oct ’24n/a
US$15.02
0%
19.9%US$19.84US$10.33n/a10
Sep ’24n/a
US$15.02
0%
19.9%US$19.84US$10.33n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
US$16.59
0%
13.5%US$19.79US$12.73n/a10
Jul ’24n/a
US$16.59
0%
13.5%US$19.79US$12.73n/a10
Jun ’24n/a
US$16.75
0%
13.8%US$20.10US$12.92n/a10
May ’24n/a
US$17.35
0%
15.6%US$21.08US$12.05n/a10
Apr ’24n/a
US$17.35
0%
15.6%US$21.08US$12.05US$9.6910
Mar ’24n/a
US$16.73
0%
15.7%US$19.79US$11.73n/a10
Feb ’24n/a
US$17.07
0%
14.7%US$20.75US$12.29n/a10
Jan ’24n/a
US$16.50
0%
15.3%US$20.40US$12.09n/a11
Dec ’23n/a
US$17.50
0%
30.3%US$33.26US$11.82n/a12
Nov ’23n/a
US$16.22
0%
29.4%US$30.65US$10.90n/a13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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