Kenvue Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Kenvue is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.3% and 2.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.3% in 3 years.
Key information
9.3%
Earnings growth rate
9.18%
EPS growth rate
| Personal Products earnings growth | 32.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.7% |
| Future return on equity | 21.31% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 10
KVUE: Future Returns Will Depend On Kimberly Clark Deal And Legal Outcomes
Analysts have lowered their Kenvue price targets by $1 to $19. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions, modestly different revenue growth expectations, a small change in projected profit margins, and an updated future P/E of 21.63x.Narrative Update • Apr 25
KVUE: Future Returns Will Hinge On Kimberly Clark Deal Completion
The analyst price target for Kenvue has been trimmed by about $0.17, as analysts fine-tune their models following recent Q4 results and a mix of target increases and subsequent $1 target reductions from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Kenvue show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms fine-tuning price targets around the Q4 print and subsequent trading action.Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
Kenvue: Extremely Mature Merger Target Is Too Expensive
Summary Kenvue, spun off from Johnson & Johnson, holds iconic brands like Tylenol and Band-Aid but has underperformed since IPO. JNJ saddled KVUE with over $9B in debt during the spin-off, impairing operational flexibility and leaving shareholders at a disadvantage. The proposed merger with Kimberly-Clark faces skepticism, with neither shareholder base showing enthusiasm and historical precedent warning of value destruction. Despite strong cash generation and market-leading brands, KVUE’s growth challenges and merger risks overshadow its consumer staples appeal. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 08
KVUE: Future Returns Will Depend On Kimberly Clark Deal Execution
Analysts have trimmed Kenvue's implied fair value to about $19.75 per share. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and updated price targets around $19 to $20 following recent Q4 results and rating changes.Narrative Update • Mar 25
KVUE: Future Returns Will Hinge On Kimberly Clark Deal Completion
Analysts have inched their average price target for Kenvue higher to around $19, with modest tweaks to the discount rate and growth assumptions following Q4 results that they describe as better than feared and supported by broad based segment performance. Analyst Commentary Street research around Kenvue clusters around small price target adjustments and updated models after Q4, with opinions split between cautious optimism and growing skepticism.Narrative Update • Mar 09
KVUE: Future Returns Will Balance Legal Risks And Kimberly Clark Deal Execution
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Kenvue to $19.83 from $19.67, reflecting recent price target increases into the $18 to $20 range after what they describe as a better than feared Q4 with broad-based segment growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kenvue highlights a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concerns, with several firms lifting price targets into the high teens after reviewing Q4 results and updated models.Narrative Update • Feb 23
KVUE: Future Returns Will Reflect Legal Outcomes And Kimberly-Clark Transaction Execution
The analyst price target for Kenvue has increased by about $0.75 to $19.67 as analysts factor in recent top and bottom line beats, segment growth, and updated P/E and cash flow assumptions. These updates are reflected in slightly higher fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin inputs.Narrative Update • Feb 08
KVUE: Future Returns Will Balance Legal Outcomes And Kimberly-Clark Deal Execution
The analyst price target for Kenvue has been trimmed by about $0.42 to reflect slightly lower fair value and P/E assumptions, as some analysts factor in recent downgrades alongside cautious optimism around areas such as Skin Health and Beauty. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kenvue has been mixed, with some firms trimming expectations while others highlight areas that could support value over time.Narrative Update • Jan 24
KVUE: Share Price Will Reflect Legal Outcomes And Kimberly-Clark Deal Execution Risks
Narrative Update Analysts have inched their price targets on Kenvue higher, with moves such as Barclays lifting its view to $18 and Jefferies highlighting potential upside toward $23. They cite early signs of improvement in Skin Health and Beauty, an agreed sale to Kimberly Clark, and ongoing legal and consumer perception risks around Tylenol that could affect how the story unfolds from here.Narrative Update • Jan 10
KVUE: Share Price Will Recover As Legal Overhangs Ease After Kimberly-Clark Deal
Narrative Update on Kenvue Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Kenvue steady at $19.33 per share while making only slight adjustments to inputs like discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. This reflects mixed recent research that highlights cautious views around litigation and consumer headlines, alongside some optimism in Skin Health and Beauty and potential M&A interest.Narrative Update • Dec 24
KVUE: Share Price Will Recover As Legal Overhangs Ease Post Kimberly-Clark Acquisition
Analysts have modestly raised their Kenvue price target to $18 from $17, citing improving sentiment around the Skin Health and Beauty segment, an attractive takeout valuation relative to perceived standalone fair value, and a generally balanced view of legal and execution risks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Kenvue reflects a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concern, with recent target changes clustering in the high teens to low 20s and framed heavily by legal risk, category growth, and potential corporate actions.Narrative Update • Dec 10
KVUE: Share Price Will Recover As Legal Overhangs Ease Under Kimberly-Clark Deal
Analysts have modestly raised their price expectations for Kenvue, highlighting a slightly lower perceived risk profile and stabilizing fundamentals supported by improving trends in Skin Health and Beauty, while ongoing litigation and reputational overhangs continue to temper sentiment and keep most targets clustered in the mid to high teens per share. Analyst Commentary Street research on Kenvue continues to reflect a divided view, with some seeing an increasingly attractive risk reward profile while others remain focused on litigation uncertainty and near term pressure on key franchises.Narrative Update • Nov 26
KVUE: Share Price Will Rebound As Legal Headwinds Ease And Merger Drives Optimism
Kenvue's fair value estimate saw a slight decrease, down $0.08 to $19.33. Analysts cited persistent legal risks, slower revenue growth, and recent headline-driven consumer concerns as key drivers of the revision.Narrative Update • Nov 06
KVUE: Share Price Will Recover As Deal Risk Diminishes And Legal Fears Fade
Kenvue's analyst price target has been lowered by approximately $1.22 to $19.42 per share. Analysts cite mounting legal risks, execution uncertainty, and potential shifts in consumer behavior following recent litigation and deal headlines.Analysis Article • Nov 01
Kenvue (NYSE:KVUE) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.2075
Kenvue Inc. ( NYSE:KVUE ) will pay a dividend of $0.2075 on the 26th of November. Based on this payment, the dividend...Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Highlights Legal Risks and Valuation Adjustments for Kenvue Amid Market Uncertainty
Analysts have reduced their average price target for Kenvue from $21.70 to $20.63. This reflects ongoing legal uncertainties and softer growth expectations in key product categories.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Digital And Operational Shifts Will Unlock Global Opportunity
Kenvue's analyst fair value estimate has been reduced to $21.70 from $22.13. This change reflects ongoing concerns among analysts about muted growth prospects and potential headline risks in the personal care segment.Narrative Update • Sep 24
Digital And Operational Shifts Will Unlock Global Opportunity
Kenvue’s consensus price target was revised downward from $22.60 to $22.13 due to heightened headline risk and legal uncertainties related to acetaminophen litigation, partially offset by views that long-term impact may be limited and current valuation discounts present a potential buying opportunity. Analyst Commentary Increased headline and reputational risks following reports and regulatory scrutiny over a potential link between Tylenol (acetaminophen) use and neurological conditions have led to downward revisions in price targets.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Digital And Operational Shifts Will Unlock Global Opportunity
With consensus forecasts for both revenue growth (2.6% p.a.) and net profit margin (13.06%) unchanged, Kenvue’s analyst price target remains steady at $22.80. What's in the News Kenvue revised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting net and organic sales to decline by low-single-digits, with a neutral currency impact.Analysis Article • Aug 07
Kenvue (NYSE:KVUE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.2075
The board of Kenvue Inc. ( NYSE:KVUE ) has announced that the dividend on 27th of August will be increased to $0.2075...Analysis Article • Jun 23
Is Kenvue Inc. (NYSE:KVUE) Trading At A 37% Discount?
Key Insights Kenvue's estimated fair value is US$33.91 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Kenvue's US$21.39...Seeking Alpha • Mar 25
Kenvue: How To Profit Strongly, Despite Elusive Upside
Summary KVUE shares have returned more than 25% in less than a year, raising concerns about possible overvaluation. I revisit the Kenvue investment case with the 2024 earnings results at hand and explain why I believe the market is currently giving management quite a bit of advance praise. I detail my strategy, which, I think, can continue to generate returns in the high teens, even excluding capital appreciation, and despite the increasingly expensive valuation of KVUE stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 17
Looming Challenges, But Kenvue Could Become A Compelling Dividend Growth Stock Beyond 2025
Summary Kenvue, spun off from Johnson & Johnson, shows potential as a solid dividend stock post-2025 despite current economic challenges and recent earnings misses. The company boasts strong brands like Tylenol and Listerine, and management's cost-cutting initiatives aim to save $350 million by 2026. Kenvue's valuation and growth prospects make it attractive for long-term dividend investors, but cash flow headwinds warrant a hold rating for now. Future dividend growth is expected post-2026, contingent on successful cost-cutting and economic stability despite current inflationary and geopolitical risks. Risks for Kenvue include tariffs, which could cause inflation to resurge, leading to lower growth as consumers look to less expensive brands. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 08
Kenvue Is A Mediocre Candidate
Summary Kenvue, the world's largest pure-play consumer health company, has a market cap of $37.96 billion but struggles with profitability despite decent growth. Management's cost-cutting initiatives show promise, but recent financials reveal mixed results, with revenue slightly up but net income and EBITDA declining. Kenvue's valuation appears relatively cheap compared to peers, yet its fundamentals don't justify a bullish outlook; thus, I rate it a 'hold'. Despite expected organic growth and cost savings, foreign currency fluctuations and modest earnings projections limit optimism for significant profitability improvements. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 27
Kenvue: Lots Of Potential, But Short-Term Upside May Be Tapped Out (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Kenvue's recent earnings showed improvements, but persistent headwinds, especially in the Skin, Health, & Beauty segment, suggest limited upside potential in the near term. Despite solid dividend growth and cost-cutting initiatives, higher interest rates and economic challenges in China continue to weigh on Kenvue's performance. Management's strategic moves, including increased online presence and partnerships with influencers, aim to combat headwinds and drive future growth. Given current headwinds and recent price appreciation, I am downgrading Kenvue to a hold, with potential upside contingent on improved economic conditions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 29
Kenvue: Unpacking Activist's Case And Earnings Preview
Summary Kenvue, a Johnson & Johnson spin-out, owns a strong portfolio of household brands like Tylenol, Benadryl and Band-Aid. Activist investor Starboard Value argues KVUE stock is undervalued, highlighting its irreplaceable brand portfolio. However, reviewing Starboard's claims, I fail to see the argument that KVUE's categories are more defendable. KVUE's OTC remedies are commoditized and face intense price competition. Overall, the KVUE investment case hinges on management's ability to turn around Skin Health & Beauty. Without concrete evidence, it is simply wishful thinking to buy right now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 16,550 | 2,222 | 2,589 | 2,925 | 8 |
| 12/31/2027 | 16,024 | 2,065 | 2,465 | 2,818 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 15,626 | 1,843 | 2,184 | 2,532 | 14 |
| 3/29/2026 | 15,292 | 1,622 | 1,823 | 2,258 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 15,124 | 1,470 | 1,722 | 2,197 | N/A |
| 9/28/2025 | 15,006 | 1,433 | 1,633 | 2,136 | N/A |
| 6/29/2025 | 15,141 | 1,418 | 1,627 | 2,091 | N/A |
| 3/30/2025 | 15,302 | 1,056 | 1,444 | 1,910 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 15,455 | 1,030 | 1,329 | 1,769 | N/A |
| 9/29/2024 | 15,459 | 1,064 | 1,401 | 1,926 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 15,475 | 1,119 | 1,771 | 2,351 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 15,486 | 1,491 | 2,086 | 2,653 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 15,444 | 1,664 | 2,699 | 3,168 | N/A |
| 10/1/2023 | 15,545 | 1,698 | 2,457 | 2,862 | N/A |
| 7/2/2023 | 15,419 | 1,846 | 2,530 | 2,924 | N/A |
| 4/2/2023 | 15,212 | 2,005 | 2,596 | 2,989 | N/A |
| 1/1/2023 | 14,950 | 2,064 | 2,150 | 2,525 | N/A |
| 10/2/2022 | 14,916 | 2,114 | 2,551 | 2,890 | N/A |
| 1/2/2022 | 15,054 | 2,078 | 39 | 334 | N/A |
| 1/3/2021 | 14,467 | -879 | 3,168 | 3,397 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 14,324 | 1,435 | N/A | 2,998 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: KVUE's forecast earnings growth (9.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: KVUE's earnings (9.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: KVUE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: KVUE's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: KVUE's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: KVUE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.3%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/20 12:13 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/29 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Kenvue Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Lauren Lieberman | Barclays |
| Lauren Lieberman | Barclays |
| Navann Ty Dietschi | BNP Paribas |