Stock Analysis

Here's Why Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:KMB
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE:KMB) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kimberly-Clark

What Is Kimberly-Clark's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kimberly-Clark had debt of US$7.48b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$8.30b over a year. However, it also had US$1.11b in cash, and so its net debt is US$6.37b.

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NYSE:KMB Debt to Equity History November 21st 2024

How Strong Is Kimberly-Clark's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kimberly-Clark had liabilities of US$7.07b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$8.66b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.11b and US$2.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$12.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Kimberly-Clark has a very large market capitalization of US$45.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Kimberly-Clark's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 15.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Fortunately, Kimberly-Clark grew its EBIT by 7.8% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kimberly-Clark can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kimberly-Clark recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

The good news is that Kimberly-Clark's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Kimberly-Clark takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Kimberly-Clark , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.