Cogstate Valuation

Is COGZ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COGZ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COGZ.F ($0.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COGZ.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COGZ.F?

Key metric: As COGZ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COGZ.F. This is calculated by dividing COGZ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is COGZ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.2x
EarningsUS$5.45m
Market CapUS$110.35m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COGZ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COGZ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average74.1x
SLP Simulations Plus
58x29.3%US$577.3m
HSTM HealthStream
48.4x5.8%US$954.7m
AMJT AMJ Global Technology
179.6xn/aUS$108.9m
FONR FONAR
10.5xn/aUS$96.2m
COGZ.F Cogstate
20.2x6.6%US$170.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COGZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the peer average (74.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COGZ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Healthcare Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
COGZ.F 20.2xIndustry Avg. 29.0xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COGZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the Global Healthcare Services industry average (29x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COGZ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COGZ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.2x
Fair PE Ratio21.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: COGZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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