Medtronic Valuation

Is MDT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MDT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MDT ($79.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($100.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MDT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MDT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.1x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MDT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MDT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average57.3x
BSX Boston Scientific
63.1x18.0%US$99.1b
SYK Stryker
39.3x12.7%US$124.5b
BDX Becton Dickinson
53.2x17.4%US$67.4b
ISRG Intuitive Surgical
73.5x12.4%US$132.2b
MDT Medtronic
25x10.3%US$105.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MDT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the peer average (57.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MDT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MDT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (35.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25x
Fair PE Ratio36.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MDT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MDT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$79.19
US$94.75
+19.6%
8.1%US$112.00US$75.00n/a28
Apr ’25US$87.02
US$94.52
+8.6%
8.1%US$112.00US$75.00n/a28
Mar ’25US$83.60
US$94.49
+13.0%
8.0%US$112.00US$75.00n/a28
Feb ’25US$88.09
US$92.47
+5.0%
9.6%US$112.00US$72.00n/a28
Jan ’25US$82.38
US$91.50
+11.1%
10.0%US$112.00US$68.00n/a28
Dec ’24US$79.99
US$91.06
+13.8%
10.2%US$112.00US$68.00n/a28
Nov ’24US$70.85
US$91.34
+28.9%
10.8%US$112.00US$68.00n/a28
Oct ’24US$78.36
US$94.65
+20.8%
8.8%US$112.00US$80.00n/a27
Sep ’24US$82.13
US$94.65
+15.2%
8.8%US$112.00US$80.00n/a27
Aug ’24US$87.68
US$93.91
+7.1%
9.5%US$112.00US$77.00n/a27
Jul ’24US$88.10
US$93.34
+5.9%
9.2%US$112.00US$77.00n/a25
Jun ’24US$82.75
US$92.41
+11.7%
9.0%US$112.00US$77.00n/a23
May ’24US$90.68
US$91.50
+0.9%
8.9%US$112.00US$79.00n/a22
Apr ’24US$80.62
US$89.91
+11.5%
8.8%US$112.00US$77.00US$87.0222
Mar ’24US$82.08
US$92.14
+12.3%
11.7%US$127.00US$77.00US$83.6022
Feb ’24US$85.77
US$90.05
+5.0%
13.1%US$127.00US$77.00US$88.0921
Jan ’24US$77.72
US$90.77
+16.8%
13.2%US$127.00US$77.00US$82.3822
Dec ’23US$79.25
US$90.77
+14.5%
13.2%US$127.00US$77.00US$79.9922
Nov ’23US$87.74
US$104.00
+18.5%
12.6%US$129.00US$85.00US$70.8522
Oct ’23US$80.75
US$106.84
+32.3%
11.4%US$129.00US$85.00US$78.3619
Sep ’23US$88.53
US$107.84
+21.8%
11.3%US$129.00US$85.00US$82.1319
Aug ’23US$93.08
US$109.62
+17.8%
9.9%US$129.00US$85.00US$87.6821
Jul ’23US$91.38
US$114.45
+25.2%
7.1%US$129.00US$100.00US$88.1020
Jun ’23US$97.78
US$114.52
+17.1%
6.9%US$129.00US$100.00US$82.7521
May ’23US$104.36
US$124.67
+19.5%
8.7%US$149.00US$105.00US$90.6824
Apr ’23US$112.52
US$124.80
+10.9%
8.5%US$149.00US$105.00US$80.6225

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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