Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Medtronic plc's (NYSE:MDT) Prospects

NYSE:MDT
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.2x Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Medtronic has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Medtronic

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MDT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 6th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Medtronic's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Medtronic's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Medtronic would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.7%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 4.3% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Medtronic's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Medtronic's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Medtronic maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Medtronic that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Medtronic. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.