Stock Analysis

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:INSP) 35% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

NYSE:INSP
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Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE:INSP) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Inspire Medical Systems is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Medical Equipment industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Inspire Medical Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:INSP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 26th 2023

What Does Inspire Medical Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Inspire Medical Systems has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Inspire Medical Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inspire Medical Systems would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 64%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.8% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Inspire Medical Systems' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Inspire Medical Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Inspire Medical Systems have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Inspire Medical Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Inspire Medical Systems that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.