Stock Analysis

We Think Humana (NYSE:HUM) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

NYSE:HUM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Humana Inc. (NYSE:HUM) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Humana

What Is Humana's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Humana had US$12.2b of debt in June 2023, down from US$13.2b, one year before. However, it does have US$31.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$19.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HUM Debt to Equity History August 25th 2023

How Strong Is Humana's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Humana had liabilities of US$28.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$11.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$31.5b in cash and US$1.43b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$6.67b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Humana has a titanic market capitalization of US$59.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Humana boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, Humana grew its EBIT by 6.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Humana can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Humana may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Humana actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While Humana does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$19.3b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$12b, being 116% of its EBIT. So we don't think Humana's use of debt is risky. We'd be very excited to see if Humana insiders have been snapping up shares. If you are too, then click on this link right now to take a (free) peek at our list of reported insider transactions.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Humana might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.