Stock Analysis

Is Quest Diagnostics (NYSE:DGX) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE:DGX) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Quest Diagnostics

How Much Debt Does Quest Diagnostics Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Quest Diagnostics had debt of US$6.25b, up from US$4.25b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$764.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$5.49b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DGX Debt to Equity History December 18th 2024

How Healthy Is Quest Diagnostics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Quest Diagnostics had liabilities of US$2.09b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$7.08b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$764.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.38b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$7.03b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Quest Diagnostics has a huge market capitalization of US$17.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Quest Diagnostics has net debt to EBITDA of 3.0 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 7.6 suggests it can easily service that debt. Quest Diagnostics grew its EBIT by 6.5% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Quest Diagnostics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Quest Diagnostics produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Quest Diagnostics's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. It's also worth noting that Quest Diagnostics is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Quest Diagnostics can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Quest Diagnostics you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:DGX

Quest Diagnostics

Provides diagnostic testing and services in the United States and internationally.

Established dividend payer and good value.

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