Stock Analysis

Talis Biomedical (NASDAQ:TLIS) Will Have To Spend Its Cash Wisely

OTCPK:TLIS
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Talis Biomedical (NASDAQ:TLIS) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Talis Biomedical

How Long Is Talis Biomedical's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Talis Biomedical last reported its balance sheet in September 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth US$274m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$172m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 19 months from September 2021. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be noticeably longer. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:TLIS Debt to Equity History February 8th 2022

How Well Is Talis Biomedical Growing?

Notably, Talis Biomedical actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 176%, signifying heavy investment in the business. While that's concerning on it's own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 38% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can Talis Biomedical Raise Cash?

Since Talis Biomedical can't yet boast improving growth metrics, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Talis Biomedical has a market capitalisation of US$62m and burnt through US$172m last year, which is 279% of the company's market value. That suggests the company may have some funding difficulties, and we'd be very wary of the stock.

So, Should We Worry About Talis Biomedical's Cash Burn?

Even though its cash burn relative to its market cap makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Talis Biomedical's cash runway was relatively promising. After considering the data discussed in this article, we don't have a lot of confidence that its cash burn rate is prudent, as it seems like it might need more cash soon. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 3 warning signs for Talis Biomedical that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.