Pennant Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Pennant Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 27.4% and 9.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 24.6% per annum.
Key information
27.4%
Earnings growth rate
24.60%
EPS growth rate
| Healthcare earnings growth | 18.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.4% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 06
PNTG: AMED Asset Integration Will Drive Future Earnings Realization Potential
Analysts have raised Pennant Group's fair value estimate by $2 to $36, reflecting updated Street price targets and ongoing confidence that the company can gradually realize earnings potential from the AMED assets over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on how quickly Pennant Group can translate the AMED assets into consistent earnings and whether current valuation fairly reflects that path.
Narrative Update • Apr 22
PNTG: AMED Assets Are Expected To Underpin Future Upside Despite 2026 Guidance
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged Pennant Group's price target higher, with recent moves such as RBC Capital's increase to $41 from $39 contributing to a modest lift in estimated fair value and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Pennant Group centers on how the market should weigh its guidance against longer term earnings potential from AMED assets and what that could imply for valuation.Narrative Update • Apr 07
PNTG: AMED Assets Will Drive Future Upside Despite Softer 2026 Guidance
Narrative Update on Pennant Group Analysts have lifted Pennant Group's price targets into a $38 to $41 range, citing long-term earnings potential tied to AMED assets. They also hold a relatively favorable view of Medicare Advantage exposure, even with mixed near term guidance and sector headwinds.Narrative Update • Mar 24
PNTG: AMED Assets Will Drive Future Upside Despite Softer 2026 Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have recently nudged Pennant Group's average price target higher into the high $30s to low $40s range, citing confidence that the company can gradually realize earnings potential from the AMED assets, even though 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance sits below earlier expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show analysts adjusting expectations for Pennant Group while still assigning higher price targets.Narrative Update • Mar 10
PNTG: AMED Earnings Potential Will Offset Tempered Outlook For 2026
Pennant Group's updated fair value estimate edges up to about $37.83 from $37.50 as analysts lift price targets into the high $30s and low $40s, pointing to confidence in long term earnings potential from AMED assets, despite more tempered revenue growth assumptions and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a generally constructive view on Pennant Group, with price targets shifting into the high $30s and low $40s range.Narrative Update • Feb 24
PNTG: Fair Outlook Will Weigh Medicare Advantage Constructiveness Against Policy And Margin Risks
Analysts have raised their price target on Pennant Group from $31 to $38, with the higher fair value of $34 linked to updated views on revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple in the context of a relatively constructive stance on Medicare Advantage. Analyst Commentary Even with the higher price target range and a constructive stance on Medicare Advantage, some commentary around Pennant Group points to risks that are worth keeping in mind as you weigh the setup.Narrative Update • Feb 10
PNTG: Home Health Reimbursement Upside Will Drive Future Upside Optionality
Narrative Update on Pennant Group Analysts have raised their price target on Pennant Group to $38 from $31, citing potential upside from home health reimbursement rates even under conservative assumptions, and noting that recent regulatory concerns are already reflected in the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see room for upside in the shares even when they assume conservative home health reimbursement rates, which they view as already reflected in the current valuation.Analysis Article • Jan 28
With EPS Growth And More, Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Narrative Update • Jan 26
PNTG: Home Health Reimbursement Upside Will Drive Future Upside Optionality
Analysts have lifted their price target on Pennant Group to US$38 from US$31, citing potential upside from home health reimbursement rates even under conservative assumptions. They also view the current valuation as offering attractive optionality if reimbursement trends improve.Narrative Update • Jan 11
PNTG: Raised Fair Value Framework Will Rely On Home Health Reimbursement Outcomes
Analysts have raised their price target on Pennant Group from $31 to $38, citing updated fair value assumptions of $37.50, a higher future P/E estimate of 27.33, and expectations for stronger revenue growth, while also accounting for a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly lower profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research provides a mix of optimism and caution around Pennant Group, with updated targets and ratings reflecting changing views on reimbursement, valuation, and sector risk.Narrative Update • Dec 16
PNTG Will Balance Reimbursement Upside Against Policy And Margin Execution Risks
Pennant Group's analyst price target has been raised from $28 to $30 per share, as analysts highlight upside from potential home health reimbursement improvements despite conservative base case assumptions. Analyst Commentary While the latest target increase underscores growing optimism around home health reimbursement, not all market observers share an unequivocally bullish stance.Analysis Article • Aug 09
The Pennant Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
NasdaqGS:PNTG 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Pennant Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Earnings Tell The Story For The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNTG)
The Pennant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PNTG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.2x might make it look like a strong...Analysis Article • Jun 28
Does Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • May 16
Pennant Group's (NASDAQ:PNTG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
The Pennant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PNTG ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. However, our...Analysis Article • Apr 15
Is The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNTG) Trading At A 33% Discount?
Key Insights Pennant Group's estimated fair value is US$38.66 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Pennant Group...Analysis Article • Mar 01
With EPS Growth And More, Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • Dec 21
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By The Pennant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PNTG) P/E
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 44.5x The Pennant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PNTG ) may be sending very bearish...Analysis Article • Nov 14
Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Pennant Group's (NASDAQ:PNTG) Earnings
Unsurprisingly, The Pennant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PNTG ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings...Analysis Article • Nov 12
Is The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNTG) Trading At A 34% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Pennant Group fair value estimate is US$50.94 Current share...Analysis Article • Oct 06
Is Now The Time To Put Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
New Narrative • Sep 16
Critical Acquisitions And Leadership Drive Remarkable Growth In Home Health Sector
Emphasis on expansion and acquisitions, such as the Muir Home Health joint venture, aims to significantly boost revenue and market share.Analysis Article • Sep 14
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNTG)
The Pennant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PNTG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.9x might make it look like a strong...Analysis Article • Aug 26
Does Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 14
Here's Why Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Mar 05
The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNTG) Not Flying Under The Radar
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.2x The Pennant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PNTG ) may be sending very bearish...Analysis Article • Jan 06
Pennant Group (NASDAQ:PNTG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,302 | 68 | 73 | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,256 | 56 | 56 | 70 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,165 | 43 | 42 | 57 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,023 | 30 | 41 | 66 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 948 | 30 | 26 | 48 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 847 | 27 | 28 | 48 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 799 | 27 | 24 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 748 | 25 | 9 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 695 | 23 | 19 | 39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 652 | 21 | 4 | 24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 612 | 19 | 8 | 29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 575 | 16 | 5 | 25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 545 | 13 | 25 | 33 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 524 | 13 | 14 | 24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 502 | 13 | 9 | 20 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 486 | 7 | 8 | 22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 473 | 7 | -5 | 9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 460 | 1 | -5 | 8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 454 | -3 | -13 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 448 | 3 | -23 | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 440 | 3 | -25 | -18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 436 | 9 | -20 | -16 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 422 | 12 | -9 | -5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 405 | 14 | 36 | 41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 391 | 16 | 43 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 372 | 8 | 41 | 50 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 362 | 5 | 40 | 49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 352 | 4 | 4 | 13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 339 | 3 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 324 | 10 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 309 | 13 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 296 | 14 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 286 | 16 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 251 | 10 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 217 | 8 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PNTG's forecast earnings growth (27.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: PNTG's earnings (27.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PNTG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: PNTG's revenue (9.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PNTG's revenue (9.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if PNTG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/30 02:15 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
The Pennant Group, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brian Tanquilut | Jefferies LLC |
| Michael Wiederhorn | Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. |
| Benjamin Hendrix | RBC Capital Markets |