Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By iSpecimen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ISPC) Revenues Despite 33% Price Jump

NasdaqCM:ISPC
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iSpecimen Inc. (NASDAQ:ISPC) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 54% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, iSpecimen may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Healthcare Services industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for iSpecimen

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:ISPC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2023

How iSpecimen Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, iSpecimen's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on iSpecimen.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

iSpecimen's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.6% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 142% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 18% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that iSpecimen is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From iSpecimen's P/S?

iSpecimen's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

iSpecimen's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with iSpecimen (including 1 which is significant).

If you're unsure about the strength of iSpecimen's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if iSpecimen might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.